National Weather Service forecasts for Denver point to a sunny, hot July 20 with a high near 98–99°F, aligning with the market’s leading 98–99°F bin at 55.5% implied probability and the 100–101°F outcome at 26.5%. Persistent high pressure, minimal cloud cover, and downslope warming from the Rockies support temperatures several degrees above the city’s 94°F July average. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this range, though slight model differences in boundary-layer mixing or timing of any late-day heating could nudge readings into the low 100s. Traders are weighting the latest official guidance and historical analogs for mid-July heat events while awaiting final NWS updates before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月20日丹佛的最高溫度？
7月20日丹佛的最高溫度？
100-101°F 100.0%
89°F或以下 <1%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
$44,211 交易量
$44,211 交易量
2026-07-20
89°F或以下
否
90-91°F
否
92-93°F
否
94-95°F
否
96-97°F
否
98-99°F
否
100-101°F
是
102-103°F
否
104-105°F
否
106-107°F
否
108°F或更高
否
100-101°F 100.0%
89°F或以下 <1%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
$44,211 交易量
$44,211 交易量
2026-07-20
89°F或以下
$5,065 交易量
否
90-91°F
$1,304 交易量
否
92-93°F
$1,480 交易量
否
94-95°F
$1,536 交易量
否
96-97°F
$6,075 交易量
否
98-99°F
$9,491 交易量
否
100-101°F
$13,676 交易量
是
102-103°F
$3,124 交易量
否
104-105°F
$843 交易量
否
106-107°F
$951 交易量
否
108°F或更高
$664 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for Denver point to a sunny, hot July 20 with a high near 98–99°F, aligning with the market’s leading 98–99°F bin at 55.5% implied probability and the 100–101°F outcome at 26.5%. Persistent high pressure, minimal cloud cover, and downslope warming from the Rockies support temperatures several degrees above the city’s 94°F July average. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this range, though slight model differences in boundary-layer mixing or timing of any late-day heating could nudge readings into the low 100s. Traders are weighting the latest official guidance and historical analogs for mid-July heat events while awaiting final NWS updates before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 18, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
交易量
$44,211結束日期
2026-07-20市場開放時間
Jul 18, 2026, 9:04 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for Denver point to a sunny, hot July 20 with a high near 98–99°F, aligning with the market’s leading 98–99°F bin at 55.5% implied probability and the 100–101°F outcome at 26.5%. Persistent high pressure, minimal cloud cover, and downslope warming from the Rockies support temperatures several degrees above the city’s 94°F July average. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this range, though slight model differences in boundary-layer mixing or timing of any late-day heating could nudge readings into the low 100s. Traders are weighting the latest official guidance and historical analogs for mid-July heat events while awaiting final NWS updates before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$44,211結束日期
2026-07-20市場開放時間
Jul 18, 2026, 9:04 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
National Weather Service forecasts for Denver point to a sunny, hot July 20 with a high near 98–99°F, aligning with the market’s leading 98–99°F bin at 55.5% implied probability and the 100–101°F outcome at 26.5%. Persistent high pressure, minimal cloud cover, and downslope warming from the Rockies support temperatures several degrees above the city’s 94°F July average. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this range, though slight model differences in boundary-layer mixing or timing of any late-day heating could nudge readings into the low 100s. Traders are weighting the latest official guidance and historical analogs for mid-July heat events while awaiting final NWS updates before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions