Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Jakarta's highest temperature reaching exactly 33°C on May 7, 2026, at Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport station—the market's official resolution source via Wunderground—driven by midday observations confirming this peak amid partly cloudy skies and urban heat island effects amplifying solar heating. BMKG's latest forecasts noted berawan (cloudy) conditions with air temperatures of 26–31°C, high humidity (70–85%), and sea breeze moderation preventing spikes, consistent with May climatological averages of 32°C highs rarely exceeding 34°C. Late-afternoon cloud cover increases further suppress potential rises, though a sudden clearing or station data revision could challenge this positioning before daily records finalize.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Jakarta on May 7?
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$70,712 交易量
$70,712 交易量
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$70,712 交易量
$70,712 交易量
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 5, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Jakarta's highest temperature reaching exactly 33°C on May 7, 2026, at Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport station—the market's official resolution source via Wunderground—driven by midday observations confirming this peak amid partly cloudy skies and urban heat island effects amplifying solar heating. BMKG's latest forecasts noted berawan (cloudy) conditions with air temperatures of 26–31°C, high humidity (70–85%), and sea breeze moderation preventing spikes, consistent with May climatological averages of 32°C highs rarely exceeding 34°C. Late-afternoon cloud cover increases further suppress potential rises, though a sudden clearing or station data revision could challenge this positioning before daily records finalize.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


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警惕外部連結哦。
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