**Traders see the highest temperature in Karachi on July 9 centering on 34–35°C because short-range forecast models show only modest day-to-day variability around the seasonal mean.** July climatology places average daily maxima near 32–33°C, yet values routinely range 32–37°C depending on Arabian Sea breeze strength, low-level moisture advection, and cloud cover tied to the advancing monsoon. Current guidance indicates above-normal temperatures for Sindh through the month, with limited rainfall expected to suppress daytime cooling. The near-even split between the two leading outcomes reflects typical ensemble spread in maximum-temperature forecasts at this lead time, where small differences in wind direction or timing of any sea-breeze onset can shift the daily peak by 1°C. Updated model runs and Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance over the next 48 hours will likely tighten or shift these probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月9日卡拉奇的最高溫度？
7月9日卡拉奇的最高溫度？
34°C 100.0%
28°C或以下 <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$45,944 交易量
$45,944 交易量
2026-07-09
28°C或以下
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
是
35°C
否
36°C
否
37°C
否
38°C或以上
否
34°C 100.0%
28°C或以下 <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$45,944 交易量
$45,944 交易量
2026-07-09
28°C或以下
$2,642 交易量
否
29°C
$2,156 交易量
否
30°C
$3,122 交易量
否
31°C
$1,145 交易量
否
32°C
$3,403 交易量
否
33°C
$9,273 交易量
否
34°C
$7,561 交易量
是
35°C
$8,151 交易量
否
36°C
$2,743 交易量
否
37°C
$2,661 交易量
否
38°C或以上
$3,087 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Traders see the highest temperature in Karachi on July 9 centering on 34–35°C because short-range forecast models show only modest day-to-day variability around the seasonal mean.** July climatology places average daily maxima near 32–33°C, yet values routinely range 32–37°C depending on Arabian Sea breeze strength, low-level moisture advection, and cloud cover tied to the advancing monsoon. Current guidance indicates above-normal temperatures for Sindh through the month, with limited rainfall expected to suppress daytime cooling. The near-even split between the two leading outcomes reflects typical ensemble spread in maximum-temperature forecasts at this lead time, where small differences in wind direction or timing of any sea-breeze onset can shift the daily peak by 1°C. Updated model runs and Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance over the next 48 hours will likely tighten or shift these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 7, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
交易量
$45,944結束日期
2026-07-09市場開放時間
Jul 7, 2026, 1:02 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Traders see the highest temperature in Karachi on July 9 centering on 34–35°C because short-range forecast models show only modest day-to-day variability around the seasonal mean.** July climatology places average daily maxima near 32–33°C, yet values routinely range 32–37°C depending on Arabian Sea breeze strength, low-level moisture advection, and cloud cover tied to the advancing monsoon. Current guidance indicates above-normal temperatures for Sindh through the month, with limited rainfall expected to suppress daytime cooling. The near-even split between the two leading outcomes reflects typical ensemble spread in maximum-temperature forecasts at this lead time, where small differences in wind direction or timing of any sea-breeze onset can shift the daily peak by 1°C. Updated model runs and Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance over the next 48 hours will likely tighten or shift these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$45,944結束日期
2026-07-09市場開放時間
Jul 7, 2026, 1:02 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Traders see the highest temperature in Karachi on July 9 centering on 34–35°C because short-range forecast models show only modest day-to-day variability around the seasonal mean.** July climatology places average daily maxima near 32–33°C, yet values routinely range 32–37°C depending on Arabian Sea breeze strength, low-level moisture advection, and cloud cover tied to the advancing monsoon. Current guidance indicates above-normal temperatures for Sindh through the month, with limited rainfall expected to suppress daytime cooling. The near-even split between the two leading outcomes reflects typical ensemble spread in maximum-temperature forecasts at this lead time, where small differences in wind direction or timing of any sea-breeze onset can shift the daily peak by 1°C. Updated model runs and Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance over the next 48 hours will likely tighten or shift these probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions