Trader sentiment on Polymarket clusters tightly around 32–35°C for Lagos' highest temperature on April 18, driven by AccuWeather's latest forecast of a 33°C peak under variable clouds and late-day thunderstorms (90% precipitation chance), capping potential extremes amid the Nigerian Meteorological Agency's (NiMet) predicted early rainy season onset. Recent observational data shows cooling from early April's heatwave highs above 35°C (peaking 35.5°C on April 10) to 31.5°C on April 15, reflecting increased cloudiness and sea breezes moderating coastal conditions. Key differentiators include storm timing—delayed convection favors 34–35°C via prolonged solar heating, while earlier showers align with 32°C—and urban heat island amplification in Lagos. Model consensus (GFS, ECMWF) remains uncertain; NiMet updates due April 17 could shift probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Lagos on April 18?
Highest temperature in Lagos on April 18?
33°C 24%
34°C 21%
32°C 20%
31°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-04-18
27°C or below
4%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
3%
31°C
13%
32°C
20%
33°C
24%
34°C
21%
35°C
12%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
2%
33°C 24%
34°C 21%
32°C 20%
31°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-04-18
27°C or below
$4,326 交易量
4%
28°C
$484 交易量
1%
29°C
$193 交易量
3%
30°C
$41 交易量
3%
31°C
$0 交易量
13%
32°C
$0 交易量
20%
33°C
$0 交易量
24%
34°C
$0 交易量
21%
35°C
$0 交易量
12%
36°C
$186 交易量
3%
37°C or higher
$47 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment on Polymarket clusters tightly around 32–35°C for Lagos' highest temperature on April 18, driven by AccuWeather's latest forecast of a 33°C peak under variable clouds and late-day thunderstorms (90% precipitation chance), capping potential extremes amid the Nigerian Meteorological Agency's (NiMet) predicted early rainy season onset. Recent observational data shows cooling from early April's heatwave highs above 35°C (peaking 35.5°C on April 10) to 31.5°C on April 15, reflecting increased cloudiness and sea breezes moderating coastal conditions. Key differentiators include storm timing—delayed convection favors 34–35°C via prolonged solar heating, while earlier showers align with 32°C—and urban heat island amplification in Lagos. Model consensus (GFS, ECMWF) remains uncertain; NiMet updates due April 17 could shift probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 16, 2026, 2:03 AM ET
交易量
$5,221結束日期
2026-04-18市場開放時間
Apr 16, 2026, 2:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment on Polymarket clusters tightly around 32–35°C for Lagos' highest temperature on April 18, driven by AccuWeather's latest forecast of a 33°C peak under variable clouds and late-day thunderstorms (90% precipitation chance), capping potential extremes amid the Nigerian Meteorological Agency's (NiMet) predicted early rainy season onset. Recent observational data shows cooling from early April's heatwave highs above 35°C (peaking 35.5°C on April 10) to 31.5°C on April 15, reflecting increased cloudiness and sea breezes moderating coastal conditions. Key differentiators include storm timing—delayed convection favors 34–35°C via prolonged solar heating, while earlier showers align with 32°C—and urban heat island amplification in Lagos. Model consensus (GFS, ECMWF) remains uncertain; NiMet updates due April 17 could shift probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$5,221結束日期
2026-04-18市場開放時間
Apr 16, 2026, 2:03 AM ETTrader sentiment on Polymarket clusters tightly around 32–35°C for Lagos' highest temperature on April 18, driven by AccuWeather's latest forecast of a 33°C peak under variable clouds and late-day thunderstorms (90% precipitation chance), capping potential extremes amid the Nigerian Meteorological Agency's (NiMet) predicted early rainy season onset. Recent observational data shows cooling from early April's heatwave highs above 35°C (peaking 35.5°C on April 10) to 31.5°C on April 15, reflecting increased cloudiness and sea breezes moderating coastal conditions. Key differentiators include storm timing—delayed convection favors 34–35°C via prolonged solar heating, while earlier showers align with 32°C—and urban heat island amplification in Lagos. Model consensus (GFS, ECMWF) remains uncertain; NiMet updates due April 17 could shift probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions