Trader consensus has locked in 100% implied probability on a 34°C high in Lagos on April 30, backed by verified observational data from Murtala Muhammed International Airport, where morning METAR reports logged 29–31°C amid scattered clouds and light winds, culminating in a peak of 34°C per NiMet monitoring—precisely matching late-April climatological norms of 33–34°C maxima in the region's humid tropical savanna climate. Diurnal heating proceeded unimpeded without significant convective suppression or enhanced sea breezes, consistent with seasonal baselines from historical records. Scenarios challenging this include rare post-publication revisions by NiMet or discrepancies between airport and urban stations, though official daily summaries rarely shift once finalized.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Lagos on April 30?
Highest temperature in Lagos on April 30?
34°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$39,680 交易量
$39,680 交易量
2026-04-30
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$39,680 交易量
$39,680 交易量
2026-04-30
28°C or below
$6,875 交易量
No
29°C
$1,742 交易量
No
30°C
$1,250 交易量
No
31°C
$1,331 交易量
No
32°C
$3,056 交易量
No
33°C
$5,073 交易量
No
34°C
$4,760 交易量
Yes
35°C
$6,395 交易量
No
36°C
$4,677 交易量
No
37°C
$1,763 交易量
No
38°C or higher
$2,759 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in 100% implied probability on a 34°C high in Lagos on April 30, backed by verified observational data from Murtala Muhammed International Airport, where morning METAR reports logged 29–31°C amid scattered clouds and light winds, culminating in a peak of 34°C per NiMet monitoring—precisely matching late-April climatological norms of 33–34°C maxima in the region's humid tropical savanna climate. Diurnal heating proceeded unimpeded without significant convective suppression or enhanced sea breezes, consistent with seasonal baselines from historical records. Scenarios challenging this include rare post-publication revisions by NiMet or discrepancies between airport and urban stations, though official daily summaries rarely shift once finalized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 28, 2026, 2:11 PM ET
交易量
$39,680結束日期
2026-04-30市場開放時間
Apr 28, 2026, 2:11 PM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in 100% implied probability on a 34°C high in Lagos on April 30, backed by verified observational data from Murtala Muhammed International Airport, where morning METAR reports logged 29–31°C amid scattered clouds and light winds, culminating in a peak of 34°C per NiMet monitoring—precisely matching late-April climatological norms of 33–34°C maxima in the region's humid tropical savanna climate. Diurnal heating proceeded unimpeded without significant convective suppression or enhanced sea breezes, consistent with seasonal baselines from historical records. Scenarios challenging this include rare post-publication revisions by NiMet or discrepancies between airport and urban stations, though official daily summaries rarely shift once finalized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$39,680結束日期
2026-04-30市場開放時間
Apr 28, 2026, 2:11 PM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Trader consensus has locked in 100% implied probability on a 34°C high in Lagos on April 30, backed by verified observational data from Murtala Muhammed International Airport, where morning METAR reports logged 29–31°C amid scattered clouds and light winds, culminating in a peak of 34°C per NiMet monitoring—precisely matching late-April climatological norms of 33–34°C maxima in the region's humid tropical savanna climate. Diurnal heating proceeded unimpeded without significant convective suppression or enhanced sea breezes, consistent with seasonal baselines from historical records. Scenarios challenging this include rare post-publication revisions by NiMet or discrepancies between airport and urban stations, though official daily summaries rarely shift once finalized.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions