Official observations from Adolfo Suárez Madrid–Barajas Airport, the resolution station for this market, recorded a maximum temperature of 26°C on April 17, solidifying trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for that outcome as final data emerged overnight. This reading, verified by Spain's AEMET meteorological agency, exceeded the April climatological average high of about 19°C amid a high-pressure system fostering clear skies and above-normal warmth, consistent with model forecasts predicting mid-20s Celsius peaks. While measurement protocols ensure high reliability, a realistic challenge could arise from rare post hoc revisions if equipment calibration issues or data outliers are identified in quality-controlled reports, though such adjustments are infrequent for daily maxima.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Madrid on April 17?
Highest temperature in Madrid on April 17?
26°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$117,951 交易量
$117,951 交易量
2026-04-17
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$117,951 交易量
$117,951 交易量
2026-04-17
20°C or below
$2,838 交易量
No
21°C
$4,222 交易量
No
22°C
$5,242 交易量
No
23°C
$5,039 交易量
No
24°C
$7,188 交易量
No
25°C
$24,639 交易量
No
26°C
$23,098 交易量
Yes
27°C
$16,932 交易量
No
28°C
$17,100 交易量
No
29°C
$6,630 交易量
No
30°C or higher
$5,023 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Adolfo Suárez Madrid–Barajas Airport, the resolution station for this market, recorded a maximum temperature of 26°C on April 17, solidifying trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for that outcome as final data emerged overnight. This reading, verified by Spain's AEMET meteorological agency, exceeded the April climatological average high of about 19°C amid a high-pressure system fostering clear skies and above-normal warmth, consistent with model forecasts predicting mid-20s Celsius peaks. While measurement protocols ensure high reliability, a realistic challenge could arise from rare post hoc revisions if equipment calibration issues or data outliers are identified in quality-controlled reports, though such adjustments are infrequent for daily maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 15, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
交易量
$117,951結束日期
2026-04-17市場開放時間
Apr 15, 2026, 12:11 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Adolfo Suárez Madrid–Barajas Airport, the resolution station for this market, recorded a maximum temperature of 26°C on April 17, solidifying trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for that outcome as final data emerged overnight. This reading, verified by Spain's AEMET meteorological agency, exceeded the April climatological average high of about 19°C amid a high-pressure system fostering clear skies and above-normal warmth, consistent with model forecasts predicting mid-20s Celsius peaks. While measurement protocols ensure high reliability, a realistic challenge could arise from rare post hoc revisions if equipment calibration issues or data outliers are identified in quality-controlled reports, though such adjustments are infrequent for daily maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$117,951結束日期
2026-04-17市場開放時間
Apr 15, 2026, 12:11 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official observations from Adolfo Suárez Madrid–Barajas Airport, the resolution station for this market, recorded a maximum temperature of 26°C on April 17, solidifying trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for that outcome as final data emerged overnight. This reading, verified by Spain's AEMET meteorological agency, exceeded the April climatological average high of about 19°C amid a high-pressure system fostering clear skies and above-normal warmth, consistent with model forecasts predicting mid-20s Celsius peaks. While measurement protocols ensure high reliability, a realistic challenge could arise from rare post hoc revisions if equipment calibration issues or data outliers are identified in quality-controlled reports, though such adjustments are infrequent for daily maxima.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions