Official AEMET observations from Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, the market's designated reference station, confirm the highest temperature on April 25 reached 25.3°C at 18:00 local time, placing it firmly in the 25°C outcome bin and driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability. This aligns with pre-event forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models projecting highs around 23–25°C amid a weakening high-pressure ridge and cooler northerly flow following warmer days like April 23's 25.8°C peak. Verified hourly measurements from automated sensors provide high-confidence data, with minimal uncertainty typical of post-event meteorological reporting. Realistic challenges would require an official data revision or audit uncovering a higher unrecorded peak, though such corrections are exceedingly rare for standard observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Madrid on April 25?
Highest temperature in Madrid on April 25?
25°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$97,646 交易量
$97,646 交易量
2026-04-25
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$97,646 交易量
$97,646 交易量
2026-04-25
18°C or below
$6,024 交易量
No
19°C
$3,527 交易量
No
20°C
$3,387 交易量
No
21°C
$8,314 交易量
No
22°C
$10,829 交易量
No
23°C
$12,095 交易量
No
24°C
$13,254 交易量
No
25°C
$17,002 交易量
Yes
26°C
$10,374 交易量
No
27°C
$7,129 交易量
No
28°C or higher
$5,710 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official AEMET observations from Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, the market's designated reference station, confirm the highest temperature on April 25 reached 25.3°C at 18:00 local time, placing it firmly in the 25°C outcome bin and driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability. This aligns with pre-event forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models projecting highs around 23–25°C amid a weakening high-pressure ridge and cooler northerly flow following warmer days like April 23's 25.8°C peak. Verified hourly measurements from automated sensors provide high-confidence data, with minimal uncertainty typical of post-event meteorological reporting. Realistic challenges would require an official data revision or audit uncovering a higher unrecorded peak, though such corrections are exceedingly rare for standard observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 23, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
交易量
$97,646結束日期
2026-04-25市場開放時間
Apr 23, 2026, 12:13 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official AEMET observations from Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, the market's designated reference station, confirm the highest temperature on April 25 reached 25.3°C at 18:00 local time, placing it firmly in the 25°C outcome bin and driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability. This aligns with pre-event forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models projecting highs around 23–25°C amid a weakening high-pressure ridge and cooler northerly flow following warmer days like April 23's 25.8°C peak. Verified hourly measurements from automated sensors provide high-confidence data, with minimal uncertainty typical of post-event meteorological reporting. Realistic challenges would require an official data revision or audit uncovering a higher unrecorded peak, though such corrections are exceedingly rare for standard observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$97,646結束日期
2026-04-25市場開放時間
Apr 23, 2026, 12:13 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official AEMET observations from Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, the market's designated reference station, confirm the highest temperature on April 25 reached 25.3°C at 18:00 local time, placing it firmly in the 25°C outcome bin and driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability. This aligns with pre-event forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models projecting highs around 23–25°C amid a weakening high-pressure ridge and cooler northerly flow following warmer days like April 23's 25.8°C peak. Verified hourly measurements from automated sensors provide high-confidence data, with minimal uncertainty typical of post-event meteorological reporting. Realistic challenges would require an official data revision or audit uncovering a higher unrecorded peak, though such corrections are exceedingly rare for standard observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions