Official forecasts from the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) project a daytime high of 30–32°C for Metro Manila on June 5, 2026, with partly cloudy skies and a 40% chance of isolated showers. June climatology places average maxima near 32°C amid the onset of the southwest monsoon, and recent model runs show minimal deviation from this range. The 100% market-implied probability for exactly 30°C reflects strong convergence on this threshold as the daily maximum, consistent with observed conditions and historical analogs for early wet-season days. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected intensification of solar heating or a rapid clearing of cloud cover that pushes readings above the forecast envelope.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Manila on June 5?
Highest temperature in Manila on June 5?
30°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$32,856 交易量
$32,856 交易量
2026-06-05
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$32,856 交易量
$32,856 交易量
2026-06-05
25°C or below
$405 交易量
No
26°C
$493 交易量
No
27°C
$1,393 交易量
No
28°C
$4,703 交易量
No
29°C
$6,371 交易量
No
30°C
$6,352 交易量
Yes
31°C
$2,754 交易量
No
32°C
$3,588 交易量
No
33°C
$3,244 交易量
No
34°C
$2,533 交易量
No
35°C or higher
$1,021 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) project a daytime high of 30–32°C for Metro Manila on June 5, 2026, with partly cloudy skies and a 40% chance of isolated showers. June climatology places average maxima near 32°C amid the onset of the southwest monsoon, and recent model runs show minimal deviation from this range. The 100% market-implied probability for exactly 30°C reflects strong convergence on this threshold as the daily maximum, consistent with observed conditions and historical analogs for early wet-season days. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected intensification of solar heating or a rapid clearing of cloud cover that pushes readings above the forecast envelope.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 3, 2026, 12:45 AM ET
交易量
$32,856結束日期
2026-06-05市場開放時間
Jun 3, 2026, 12:45 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) project a daytime high of 30–32°C for Metro Manila on June 5, 2026, with partly cloudy skies and a 40% chance of isolated showers. June climatology places average maxima near 32°C amid the onset of the southwest monsoon, and recent model runs show minimal deviation from this range. The 100% market-implied probability for exactly 30°C reflects strong convergence on this threshold as the daily maximum, consistent with observed conditions and historical analogs for early wet-season days. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected intensification of solar heating or a rapid clearing of cloud cover that pushes readings above the forecast envelope.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$32,856結束日期
2026-06-05市場開放時間
Jun 3, 2026, 12:45 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official forecasts from the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) project a daytime high of 30–32°C for Metro Manila on June 5, 2026, with partly cloudy skies and a 40% chance of isolated showers. June climatology places average maxima near 32°C amid the onset of the southwest monsoon, and recent model runs show minimal deviation from this range. The 100% market-implied probability for exactly 30°C reflects strong convergence on this threshold as the daily maximum, consistent with observed conditions and historical analogs for early wet-season days. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected intensification of solar heating or a rapid clearing of cloud cover that pushes readings above the forecast envelope.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions