Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in ensemble forecast models for Miami's highest temperature on April 17, with NWS guidance pointing to the lower 80s°F under mostly sunny skies and light east winds of 5-10 mph—lighter than recent days' 10-15 mph gusts that capped highs around 78-82°F amid a persistent Atlantic high-pressure ridge. Differentiating factors include potential sea breeze timing and inland push, which could suppress peaks toward 76-77°F if stronger, versus ridge weakening allowing 84-85°F or even 90°F+ if winds drop further and solar heating dominates; historical April averages hover at 82°F, with normals near 84°F. New GFS/European model runs expected overnight may sharpen probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Miami on April 17?
Highest temperature in Miami on April 17?
84-85°F 38%
82-83°F 18%
86-87°F 17%
80-81°F 13%
最新
最新
2026-04-17
71°F or below
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
13%
82-83°F
18%
84-85°F
38%
86-87°F
17%
88-89°F
10%
90°F or higher
5%
84-85°F 38%
82-83°F 18%
86-87°F 17%
80-81°F 13%
最新
最新
2026-04-17
71°F or below
$320 交易量
1%
72-73°F
$342 交易量
1%
74-75°F
$189 交易量
2%
76-77°F
$25 交易量
3%
78-79°F
$66 交易量
4%
80-81°F
$51 交易量
13%
82-83°F
$60 交易量
18%
84-85°F
$79 交易量
38%
86-87°F
$81 交易量
17%
88-89°F
$93 交易量
10%
90°F or higher
$20 交易量
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in ensemble forecast models for Miami's highest temperature on April 17, with NWS guidance pointing to the lower 80s°F under mostly sunny skies and light east winds of 5-10 mph—lighter than recent days' 10-15 mph gusts that capped highs around 78-82°F amid a persistent Atlantic high-pressure ridge. Differentiating factors include potential sea breeze timing and inland push, which could suppress peaks toward 76-77°F if stronger, versus ridge weakening allowing 84-85°F or even 90°F+ if winds drop further and solar heating dominates; historical April averages hover at 82°F, with normals near 84°F. New GFS/European model runs expected overnight may sharpen probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$1,317結束日期
2026-04-17市場開放時間
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in ensemble forecast models for Miami's highest temperature on April 17, with NWS guidance pointing to the lower 80s°F under mostly sunny skies and light east winds of 5-10 mph—lighter than recent days' 10-15 mph gusts that capped highs around 78-82°F amid a persistent Atlantic high-pressure ridge. Differentiating factors include potential sea breeze timing and inland push, which could suppress peaks toward 76-77°F if stronger, versus ridge weakening allowing 84-85°F or even 90°F+ if winds drop further and solar heating dominates; historical April averages hover at 82°F, with normals near 84°F. New GFS/European model runs expected overnight may sharpen probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$1,317結束日期
2026-04-17市場開放時間
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in ensemble forecast models for Miami's highest temperature on April 17, with NWS guidance pointing to the lower 80s°F under mostly sunny skies and light east winds of 5-10 mph—lighter than recent days' 10-15 mph gusts that capped highs around 78-82°F amid a persistent Atlantic high-pressure ridge. Differentiating factors include potential sea breeze timing and inland push, which could suppress peaks toward 76-77°F if stronger, versus ridge weakening allowing 84-85°F or even 90°F+ if winds drop further and solar heating dominates; historical April averages hover at 82°F, with normals near 84°F. New GFS/European model runs expected overnight may sharpen probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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