Latest numerical weather prediction models from ECMWF and GFS indicate a maximum temperature of 28–29°C in Milan on August 24 under mostly sunny skies and light easterly winds, consistent with late-summer anticyclonic conditions and typical August climatology of 27–30°C highs. These forecasts position 28°C as the leading market-implied outcome at 39% probability, followed by 29°C at 23%, reflecting trader consensus on stable high-pressure patterns without significant heat advection or cloud cover that could alter readings. Minor model spread around 27–30°C accounts for the remaining probabilities, with resolution depending on official Milan-Linate observations. Updated model runs and local agency briefings over the next 48 hours represent key data points that could shift implied odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日米蘭的最高溫度？
8月24日米蘭的最高溫度？
28°C 38%
29°C 24%
27°C 23%
30°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
5%
27°C
21%
28°C
38%
29°C
24%
30°C
6%
31°C or higher
2%
28°C 38%
29°C 24%
27°C 23%
30°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
21°C or below
$5 交易量
1%
22°C
$15 交易量
1%
23°C
$5 交易量
1%
24°C
$5 交易量
1%
25°C
$5 交易量
1%
26°C
$30 交易量
5%
27°C
$18 交易量
21%
28°C
$129 交易量
38%
29°C
$0 交易量
24%
30°C
$5 交易量
6%
31°C or higher
$5 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from ECMWF and GFS indicate a maximum temperature of 28–29°C in Milan on August 24 under mostly sunny skies and light easterly winds, consistent with late-summer anticyclonic conditions and typical August climatology of 27–30°C highs. These forecasts position 28°C as the leading market-implied outcome at 39% probability, followed by 29°C at 23%, reflecting trader consensus on stable high-pressure patterns without significant heat advection or cloud cover that could alter readings. Minor model spread around 27–30°C accounts for the remaining probabilities, with resolution depending on official Milan-Linate observations. Updated model runs and local agency briefings over the next 48 hours represent key data points that could shift implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET
交易量
$222結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from ECMWF and GFS indicate a maximum temperature of 28–29°C in Milan on August 24 under mostly sunny skies and light easterly winds, consistent with late-summer anticyclonic conditions and typical August climatology of 27–30°C highs. These forecasts position 28°C as the leading market-implied outcome at 39% probability, followed by 29°C at 23%, reflecting trader consensus on stable high-pressure patterns without significant heat advection or cloud cover that could alter readings. Minor model spread around 27–30°C accounts for the remaining probabilities, with resolution depending on official Milan-Linate observations. Updated model runs and local agency briefings over the next 48 hours represent key data points that could shift implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$222結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETLatest numerical weather prediction models from ECMWF and GFS indicate a maximum temperature of 28–29°C in Milan on August 24 under mostly sunny skies and light easterly winds, consistent with late-summer anticyclonic conditions and typical August climatology of 27–30°C highs. These forecasts position 28°C as the leading market-implied outcome at 39% probability, followed by 29°C at 23%, reflecting trader consensus on stable high-pressure patterns without significant heat advection or cloud cover that could alter readings. Minor model spread around 27–30°C accounts for the remaining probabilities, with resolution depending on official Milan-Linate observations. Updated model runs and local agency briefings over the next 48 hours represent key data points that could shift implied odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions