Official National Weather Service observations at Central Park, New York City's primary climate station, recorded a maximum temperature of 53°F at 2:57 PM EDT on April 21, 2026, driving Polymarket traders to assign 100% implied probability to the 52-53°F outcome based on Weather Underground data from LaGuardia Airport (KLGA), the market's resolution source. This positioning reflects verified hourly METAR reports amid cloudy skies, light winds, and lingering effects from a cold front that followed mid-April's record 90°F heat in Central Park on the 15th—well below the 64°F climatological average high. With data finalized in NWS daily climate summaries, only an extraordinary station measurement revision, as occasionally seen in quality control audits, could realistically challenge this consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in NYC on April 21?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 21?
52-53°F 100.0%
45°F or below <1%
46-47°F <1%
48-49°F <1%
$340,898 交易量
$340,898 交易量
2026-04-21
45°F or below
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
Yes
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64°F or higher
No
52-53°F 100.0%
45°F or below <1%
46-47°F <1%
48-49°F <1%
$340,898 交易量
$340,898 交易量
2026-04-21
45°F or below
$15,845 交易量
No
46-47°F
$44,175 交易量
No
48-49°F
$37,745 交易量
No
50-51°F
$111,332 交易量
No
52-53°F
$34,850 交易量
Yes
54-55°F
$40,320 交易量
No
56-57°F
$15,780 交易量
No
58-59°F
$6,647 交易量
No
60-61°F
$15,489 交易量
No
62-63°F
$10,662 交易量
No
64°F or higher
$8,053 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations at Central Park, New York City's primary climate station, recorded a maximum temperature of 53°F at 2:57 PM EDT on April 21, 2026, driving Polymarket traders to assign 100% implied probability to the 52-53°F outcome based on Weather Underground data from LaGuardia Airport (KLGA), the market's resolution source. This positioning reflects verified hourly METAR reports amid cloudy skies, light winds, and lingering effects from a cold front that followed mid-April's record 90°F heat in Central Park on the 15th—well below the 64°F climatological average high. With data finalized in NWS daily climate summaries, only an extraordinary station measurement revision, as occasionally seen in quality control audits, could realistically challenge this consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
交易量
$340,898結束日期
2026-04-21市場開放時間
Apr 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations at Central Park, New York City's primary climate station, recorded a maximum temperature of 53°F at 2:57 PM EDT on April 21, 2026, driving Polymarket traders to assign 100% implied probability to the 52-53°F outcome based on Weather Underground data from LaGuardia Airport (KLGA), the market's resolution source. This positioning reflects verified hourly METAR reports amid cloudy skies, light winds, and lingering effects from a cold front that followed mid-April's record 90°F heat in Central Park on the 15th—well below the 64°F climatological average high. With data finalized in NWS daily climate summaries, only an extraordinary station measurement revision, as occasionally seen in quality control audits, could realistically challenge this consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$340,898結束日期
2026-04-21市場開放時間
Apr 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official National Weather Service observations at Central Park, New York City's primary climate station, recorded a maximum temperature of 53°F at 2:57 PM EDT on April 21, 2026, driving Polymarket traders to assign 100% implied probability to the 52-53°F outcome based on Weather Underground data from LaGuardia Airport (KLGA), the market's resolution source. This positioning reflects verified hourly METAR reports amid cloudy skies, light winds, and lingering effects from a cold front that followed mid-April's record 90°F heat in Central Park on the 15th—well below the 64°F climatological average high. With data finalized in NWS daily climate summaries, only an extraordinary station measurement revision, as occasionally seen in quality control audits, could realistically challenge this consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions