Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts for New York City's Central Park high temperature on April 6, with models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles clustering around the mid-50s°F amid a cool Canadian air mass ushering in below-normal conditions—about 5-10°F cooler than the early April climatological normal of 57°F. The close contest between 56-57°F (26%) and 54-55°F (22.5%) stems from divergent model runs on cloud cover persistence, exact frontal timing, and northwest winds mixing cooler boundary layers, potentially capping peaks or allowing slight warm-up if skies clear midday. New 00Z/12Z updates from NOAA and ECMWF expected within 24 hours could sharpen probabilities as resolution nears.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in NYC on April 6?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 6?
56-57°F 26%
54-55°F 22%
58-59°F 16%
52-53°F 15%
$11,457 交易量
$11,457 交易量
2026-04-06
47°F or below
1%
48-49°F
3%
50-51°F
8%
52-53°F
15%
54-55°F
22%
56-57°F
26%
58-59°F
16%
60-61°F
9%
62-63°F
3%
64-65°F
1%
66°F or higher
1%
56-57°F 26%
54-55°F 22%
58-59°F 16%
52-53°F 15%
$11,457 交易量
$11,457 交易量
2026-04-06
47°F or below
$1,369 交易量
1%
48-49°F
$892 交易量
3%
50-51°F
$786 交易量
8%
52-53°F
$1,061 交易量
15%
54-55°F
$1,043 交易量
22%
56-57°F
$859 交易量
26%
58-59°F
$678 交易量
16%
60-61°F
$571 交易量
9%
62-63°F
$1,073 交易量
3%
64-65°F
$1,072 交易量
1%
66°F or higher
$2,052 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts for New York City's Central Park high temperature on April 6, with models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles clustering around the mid-50s°F amid a cool Canadian air mass ushering in below-normal conditions—about 5-10°F cooler than the early April climatological normal of 57°F. The close contest between 56-57°F (26%) and 54-55°F (22.5%) stems from divergent model runs on cloud cover persistence, exact frontal timing, and northwest winds mixing cooler boundary layers, potentially capping peaks or allowing slight warm-up if skies clear midday. New 00Z/12Z updates from NOAA and ECMWF expected within 24 hours could sharpen probabilities as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
交易量
$11,457結束日期
2026-04-06市場開放時間
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts for New York City's Central Park high temperature on April 6, with models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles clustering around the mid-50s°F amid a cool Canadian air mass ushering in below-normal conditions—about 5-10°F cooler than the early April climatological normal of 57°F. The close contest between 56-57°F (26%) and 54-55°F (22.5%) stems from divergent model runs on cloud cover persistence, exact frontal timing, and northwest winds mixing cooler boundary layers, potentially capping peaks or allowing slight warm-up if skies clear midday. New 00Z/12Z updates from NOAA and ECMWF expected within 24 hours could sharpen probabilities as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$11,457結束日期
2026-04-06市場開放時間
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts for New York City's Central Park high temperature on April 6, with models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles clustering around the mid-50s°F amid a cool Canadian air mass ushering in below-normal conditions—about 5-10°F cooler than the early April climatological normal of 57°F. The close contest between 56-57°F (26%) and 54-55°F (22.5%) stems from divergent model runs on cloud cover persistence, exact frontal timing, and northwest winds mixing cooler boundary layers, potentially capping peaks or allowing slight warm-up if skies clear midday. New 00Z/12Z updates from NOAA and ECMWF expected within 24 hours could sharpen probabilities as resolution nears.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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