Current National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance point to a maximum temperature near 82°F in New York City on July 11, driving the market’s emphasis on the 82–83°F bin. Scattered clouds, a modest chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms, and west-to-southwest winds around 7–10 mph are expected to limit full insolation and cap the peak, consistent with post-heatwave moderation after early July highs near 100°F. Historical July averages hover near 86°F, but recent observations and short-range model runs favor slightly cooler conditions. Final NWS updates and morning soundings on July 11 will refine the outcome before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月11日紐約市的最高溫度？
7月11日紐約市的最高溫度？
82-83°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$164,247 交易量
$164,247 交易量
2026-07-11
69°F or below
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
Yes
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88°F or higher
No
82-83°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$164,247 交易量
$164,247 交易量
2026-07-11
69°F or below
$775 交易量
No
70-71°F
$696 交易量
No
72-73°F
$2,711 交易量
No
74-75°F
$8,761 交易量
No
76-77°F
$15,266 交易量
No
78-79°F
$23,352 交易量
No
80-81°F
$25,805 交易量
No
82-83°F
$17,166 交易量
Yes
84-85°F
$17,161 交易量
No
86-87°F
$32,092 交易量
No
88°F or higher
$20,462 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance point to a maximum temperature near 82°F in New York City on July 11, driving the market’s emphasis on the 82–83°F bin. Scattered clouds, a modest chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms, and west-to-southwest winds around 7–10 mph are expected to limit full insolation and cap the peak, consistent with post-heatwave moderation after early July highs near 100°F. Historical July averages hover near 86°F, but recent observations and short-range model runs favor slightly cooler conditions. Final NWS updates and morning soundings on July 11 will refine the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 9, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
交易量
$164,247結束日期
2026-07-11市場開放時間
Jul 9, 2026, 9:02 PM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance point to a maximum temperature near 82°F in New York City on July 11, driving the market’s emphasis on the 82–83°F bin. Scattered clouds, a modest chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms, and west-to-southwest winds around 7–10 mph are expected to limit full insolation and cap the peak, consistent with post-heatwave moderation after early July highs near 100°F. Historical July averages hover near 86°F, but recent observations and short-range model runs favor slightly cooler conditions. Final NWS updates and morning soundings on July 11 will refine the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$164,247結束日期
2026-07-11市場開放時間
Jul 9, 2026, 9:02 PM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Current National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance point to a maximum temperature near 82°F in New York City on July 11, driving the market’s emphasis on the 82–83°F bin. Scattered clouds, a modest chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms, and west-to-southwest winds around 7–10 mph are expected to limit full insolation and cap the peak, consistent with post-heatwave moderation after early July highs near 100°F. Historical July averages hover near 86°F, but recent observations and short-range model runs favor slightly cooler conditions. Final NWS updates and morning soundings on July 11 will refine the outcome before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions