**Official observations from the Charles de Gaulle Airport weather station—the market's designated source—confirm Paris's highest temperature on April 17 reached exactly 21°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on that outcome.** This aligns with Météo-France's preliminary data amid mild spring conditions featuring high-pressure influence, light southerly winds, and partial cloud cover that capped daytime heating. Pre-event ECMWF ensemble forecasts and national model runs had converged on highs of 20-21°C, matching the observed peak around mid-afternoon. With the event passed and data published, markets reflect verified measurements; realistic challenges are minimal, limited to infrequent quality-control revisions uncovering sensor anomalies, though historical precedents show such adjustments affect less than 0.5°C in 99% of cases. Traders await no further updates as resolution nears.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於4月17日巴黎最高溫度?
21°C 100.0%
16°C或以下 <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$354,976 交易量
$354,976 交易量
16°C或以下
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
是
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C或以上
否
21°C 100.0%
16°C或以下 <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$354,976 交易量
$354,976 交易量
16°C或以下
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
是
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Official observations from the Charles de Gaulle Airport weather station—the market's designated source—confirm Paris's highest temperature on April 17 reached exactly 21°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on that outcome.** This aligns with Météo-France's preliminary data amid mild spring conditions featuring high-pressure influence, light southerly winds, and partial cloud cover that capped daytime heating. Pre-event ECMWF ensemble forecasts and national model runs had converged on highs of 20-21°C, matching the observed peak around mid-afternoon. With the event passed and data published, markets reflect verified measurements; realistic challenges are minimal, limited to infrequent quality-control revisions uncovering sensor anomalies, though historical precedents show such adjustments affect less than 0.5°C in 99% of cases. Traders await no further updates as resolution nears.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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