Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 19–22°C for Paris's highest temperature on April 18, driven by Météo-France's latest forecast projecting a 21°C peak under overcast skies, aligning with ensemble means from ECMWF and GFS models showing 20–21°C amid a mild high-pressure ridge. Recent warming—highs climbing from 14°C on April 13 to 20°C today—stems from light southerly winds advecting warmer continental air above seasonal norms (historical April average ~16°C), but variability arises from cloud cover thickness: fuller overcast favors 19–20°C, while potential breaks could push to 22°C. With resolution imminent, monitor tomorrow's forecast updates for refinements in insolation and boundary layer mixing.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Paris on April 18?
Highest temperature in Paris on April 18?
21°C 29%
20°C 26%
19°C 18%
22°C 17%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
6%
19°C
18%
20°C
26%
21°C
29%
22°C
17%
23°C or higher
9%
21°C 29%
20°C 26%
19°C 18%
22°C 17%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
6%
19°C
18%
20°C
26%
21°C
29%
22°C
17%
23°C or higher
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 16, 2026, 12:40 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 19–22°C for Paris's highest temperature on April 18, driven by Météo-France's latest forecast projecting a 21°C peak under overcast skies, aligning with ensemble means from ECMWF and GFS models showing 20–21°C amid a mild high-pressure ridge. Recent warming—highs climbing from 14°C on April 13 to 20°C today—stems from light southerly winds advecting warmer continental air above seasonal norms (historical April average ~16°C), but variability arises from cloud cover thickness: fuller overcast favors 19–20°C, while potential breaks could push to 22°C. With resolution imminent, monitor tomorrow's forecast updates for refinements in insolation and boundary layer mixing.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions