Recent model consensus from Météo-France and European ensembles shows a moderating high-pressure ridge over northern France, with southwesterly flow advecting milder maritime air toward Paris by July 18. This setup favors afternoon maxima near 27–29 °C at standard observing sites, tempered by possible increased cloud cover and a slight uptick in boundary-layer mixing. Urban heat-island effects could add 1–2 °C locally, yet forecast spread arises mainly from subtle differences in timing of any weak frontal passage and insolation duration. Traders therefore cluster probabilities around the 28 °C and 29 °C bins, reflecting the narrow range between official guidance and ensemble variability two days ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月18日巴黎最高溫度？
7月18日巴黎最高溫度？
29°C 100.0%
24°C或以下 <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$110,008 交易量
$110,008 交易量
2026-07-18
24°C或以下
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
是
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C或以上
否
29°C 100.0%
24°C或以下 <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$110,008 交易量
$110,008 交易量
2026-07-18
24°C或以下
$1,091 交易量
否
25°C
$2,596 交易量
否
26°C
$5,831 交易量
否
27°C
$10,106 交易量
否
28°C
$18,084 交易量
否
29°C
$18,811 交易量
是
30°C
$19,161 交易量
否
31°C
$15,352 交易量
否
32°C
$9,562 交易量
否
33°C
$2,283 交易量
否
34°C或以上
$7,130 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from Météo-France and European ensembles shows a moderating high-pressure ridge over northern France, with southwesterly flow advecting milder maritime air toward Paris by July 18. This setup favors afternoon maxima near 27–29 °C at standard observing sites, tempered by possible increased cloud cover and a slight uptick in boundary-layer mixing. Urban heat-island effects could add 1–2 °C locally, yet forecast spread arises mainly from subtle differences in timing of any weak frontal passage and insolation duration. Traders therefore cluster probabilities around the 28 °C and 29 °C bins, reflecting the narrow range between official guidance and ensemble variability two days ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 16, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
交易量
$110,008結束日期
2026-07-18市場開放時間
Jul 16, 2026, 1:03 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from Météo-France and European ensembles shows a moderating high-pressure ridge over northern France, with southwesterly flow advecting milder maritime air toward Paris by July 18. This setup favors afternoon maxima near 27–29 °C at standard observing sites, tempered by possible increased cloud cover and a slight uptick in boundary-layer mixing. Urban heat-island effects could add 1–2 °C locally, yet forecast spread arises mainly from subtle differences in timing of any weak frontal passage and insolation duration. Traders therefore cluster probabilities around the 28 °C and 29 °C bins, reflecting the narrow range between official guidance and ensemble variability two days ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$110,008結束日期
2026-07-18市場開放時間
Jul 16, 2026, 1:03 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Recent model consensus from Météo-France and European ensembles shows a moderating high-pressure ridge over northern France, with southwesterly flow advecting milder maritime air toward Paris by July 18. This setup favors afternoon maxima near 27–29 °C at standard observing sites, tempered by possible increased cloud cover and a slight uptick in boundary-layer mixing. Urban heat-island effects could add 1–2 °C locally, yet forecast spread arises mainly from subtle differences in timing of any weak frontal passage and insolation duration. Traders therefore cluster probabilities around the 28 °C and 29 °C bins, reflecting the narrow range between official guidance and ensemble variability two days ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions