Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 31°C as Shenzhen's highest temperature today at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport, reflecting confirmed observational data from the station peaking at 31°C during afternoon hours around 2 PM local time, amid partly cloudy skies and high humidity near 80%. Subtropical atmospheric conditions, including moderate southerly winds and urban heat island effects, aligned with China Meteorological Administration model forecasts predicting highs of 30-31°C, consistent with April climatology where daily maxima typically range 26-28°C but can spike under light cloud cover. As sunset has passed and temperatures now hover around 27°C with cooling nocturnal boundary layer, further increases are improbable; only a rare post-official data revision from sensor recalibration could challenge this near-certain resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 22?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 22?
31°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$109,683 交易量
$109,683 交易量
2026-04-22
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$109,683 交易量
$109,683 交易量
2026-04-22
22°C or below
$3,413 交易量
No
23°C
$937 交易量
No
24°C
$3,624 交易量
No
25°C
$3,001 交易量
No
26°C
$7,624 交易量
No
27°C
$13,097 交易量
No
28°C
$6,277 交易量
No
29°C
$14,126 交易量
No
30°C
$20,184 交易量
No
31°C
$19,774 交易量
Yes
32°C or higher
$17,624 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 31°C as Shenzhen's highest temperature today at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport, reflecting confirmed observational data from the station peaking at 31°C during afternoon hours around 2 PM local time, amid partly cloudy skies and high humidity near 80%. Subtropical atmospheric conditions, including moderate southerly winds and urban heat island effects, aligned with China Meteorological Administration model forecasts predicting highs of 30-31°C, consistent with April climatology where daily maxima typically range 26-28°C but can spike under light cloud cover. As sunset has passed and temperatures now hover around 27°C with cooling nocturnal boundary layer, further increases are improbable; only a rare post-official data revision from sensor recalibration could challenge this near-certain resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 20, 2026, 12:44 AM ET
交易量
$109,683結束日期
2026-04-22市場開放時間
Apr 20, 2026, 12:44 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 31°C as Shenzhen's highest temperature today at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport, reflecting confirmed observational data from the station peaking at 31°C during afternoon hours around 2 PM local time, amid partly cloudy skies and high humidity near 80%. Subtropical atmospheric conditions, including moderate southerly winds and urban heat island effects, aligned with China Meteorological Administration model forecasts predicting highs of 30-31°C, consistent with April climatology where daily maxima typically range 26-28°C but can spike under light cloud cover. As sunset has passed and temperatures now hover around 27°C with cooling nocturnal boundary layer, further increases are improbable; only a rare post-official data revision from sensor recalibration could challenge this near-certain resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$109,683結束日期
2026-04-22市場開放時間
Apr 20, 2026, 12:44 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 31°C as Shenzhen's highest temperature today at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport, reflecting confirmed observational data from the station peaking at 31°C during afternoon hours around 2 PM local time, amid partly cloudy skies and high humidity near 80%. Subtropical atmospheric conditions, including moderate southerly winds and urban heat island effects, aligned with China Meteorological Administration model forecasts predicting highs of 30-31°C, consistent with April climatology where daily maxima typically range 26-28°C but can spike under light cloud cover. As sunset has passed and temperatures now hover around 27°C with cooling nocturnal boundary layer, further increases are improbable; only a rare post-official data revision from sensor recalibration could challenge this near-certain resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions