Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and model consensus indicate Tokyo's highest temperature on June 13 will reach 27°C under typical early-summer conditions, with moderate humidity, light winds, and limited cloud cover supporting gradual daytime warming to that level. Historical climatology shows mid-June maxima averaging 26°C, providing a strong baseline that aligns with current observations and short-range guidance. The overwhelming 99.9% market-implied probability reflects this tight convergence of data. An unexpected cold front, heavier rainfall, or localized measurement variance at official stations could shift the recorded high, though such deviations remain improbable given the stable pattern and proximity to day's end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 13?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 13?
27°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$90,092 交易量
$90,092 交易量
2026-06-13
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$90,092 交易量
$90,092 交易量
2026-06-13
21°C or below
$1,504 交易量
No
22°C
$1,623 交易量
No
23°C
$1,880 交易量
No
24°C
$10,529 交易量
No
25°C
$13,587 交易量
No
26°C
$10,315 交易量
No
27°C
$11,966 交易量
Yes
28°C
$15,349 交易量
No
29°C
$13,528 交易量
No
30°C
$7,078 交易量
No
31°C or higher
$2,735 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and model consensus indicate Tokyo's highest temperature on June 13 will reach 27°C under typical early-summer conditions, with moderate humidity, light winds, and limited cloud cover supporting gradual daytime warming to that level. Historical climatology shows mid-June maxima averaging 26°C, providing a strong baseline that aligns with current observations and short-range guidance. The overwhelming 99.9% market-implied probability reflects this tight convergence of data. An unexpected cold front, heavier rainfall, or localized measurement variance at official stations could shift the recorded high, though such deviations remain improbable given the stable pattern and proximity to day's end.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$90,092結束日期
2026-06-13市場開放時間
Jun 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and model consensus indicate Tokyo's highest temperature on June 13 will reach 27°C under typical early-summer conditions, with moderate humidity, light winds, and limited cloud cover supporting gradual daytime warming to that level. Historical climatology shows mid-June maxima averaging 26°C, providing a strong baseline that aligns with current observations and short-range guidance. The overwhelming 99.9% market-implied probability reflects this tight convergence of data. An unexpected cold front, heavier rainfall, or localized measurement variance at official stations could shift the recorded high, though such deviations remain improbable given the stable pattern and proximity to day's end.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$90,092結束日期
2026-06-13市場開放時間
Jun 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and model consensus indicate Tokyo's highest temperature on June 13 will reach 27°C under typical early-summer conditions, with moderate humidity, light winds, and limited cloud cover supporting gradual daytime warming to that level. Historical climatology shows mid-June maxima averaging 26°C, providing a strong baseline that aligns with current observations and short-range guidance. The overwhelming 99.9% market-implied probability reflects this tight convergence of data. An unexpected cold front, heavier rainfall, or localized measurement variance at official stations could shift the recorded high, though such deviations remain improbable given the stable pattern and proximity to day's end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions