**Official forecasts position 25°C as the most probable high for Toronto on August 26, 2026.** Environment Canada’s latest outlook calls for a mix of sun and cloud with a daytime maximum of 25°C, consistent with late-August climatology where average highs range 24–26°C. Model consensus supports modest daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, with limited instability or moisture to drive significant deviations. Recent developments, including updated short-range guidance from national meteorological services, have reinforced this central tendency and narrowed the distribution around 25–26°C. Traders assign the highest implied probability (45.5%) to 25°C because it aligns with observed steering patterns and surface conditions expected to moderate peak temperatures, while the 30% chance for 26°C and 18.5% for 24°C reflect typical forecast uncertainty ranges of ±1–2°C common at this lead time. Stronger consensus or model shifts toward clearer skies or additional cloud cover could further concentrate probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月26日多倫多氣溫最高？
8月26日多倫多氣溫最高？
25°C 45%
26°C 30%
24°C 19%
27°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
19%
25°C
45%
26°C
30%
27°C
6%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 45%
26°C 30%
24°C 19%
27°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
20°C or below
$0 交易量
<1%
21°C
$31 交易量
1%
22°C
$41 交易量
1%
23°C
$67 交易量
4%
24°C
$792 交易量
19%
25°C
$933 交易量
45%
26°C
$381 交易量
30%
27°C
$73 交易量
6%
28°C
$59 交易量
2%
29°C
$103 交易量
<1%
30°C or higher
$13 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts position 25°C as the most probable high for Toronto on August 26, 2026.** Environment Canada’s latest outlook calls for a mix of sun and cloud with a daytime maximum of 25°C, consistent with late-August climatology where average highs range 24–26°C. Model consensus supports modest daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, with limited instability or moisture to drive significant deviations.
Recent developments, including updated short-range guidance from national meteorological services, have reinforced this central tendency and narrowed the distribution around 25–26°C. Traders assign the highest implied probability (45.5%) to 25°C because it aligns with observed steering patterns and surface conditions expected to moderate peak temperatures, while the 30% chance for 26°C and 18.5% for 24°C reflect typical forecast uncertainty ranges of ±1–2°C common at this lead time. Stronger consensus or model shifts toward clearer skies or additional cloud cover could further concentrate probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 24, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
交易量
$2,493結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 8:56 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts position 25°C as the most probable high for Toronto on August 26, 2026.** Environment Canada’s latest outlook calls for a mix of sun and cloud with a daytime maximum of 25°C, consistent with late-August climatology where average highs range 24–26°C. Model consensus supports modest daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, with limited instability or moisture to drive significant deviations.
Recent developments, including updated short-range guidance from national meteorological services, have reinforced this central tendency and narrowed the distribution around 25–26°C. Traders assign the highest implied probability (45.5%) to 25°C because it aligns with observed steering patterns and surface conditions expected to moderate peak temperatures, while the 30% chance for 26°C and 18.5% for 24°C reflect typical forecast uncertainty ranges of ±1–2°C common at this lead time. Stronger consensus or model shifts toward clearer skies or additional cloud cover could further concentrate probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,493結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 8:56 PM ET**Official forecasts position 25°C as the most probable high for Toronto on August 26, 2026.** Environment Canada’s latest outlook calls for a mix of sun and cloud with a daytime maximum of 25°C, consistent with late-August climatology where average highs range 24–26°C. Model consensus supports modest daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, with limited instability or moisture to drive significant deviations. Recent developments, including updated short-range guidance from national meteorological services, have reinforced this central tendency and narrowed the distribution around 25–26°C. Traders assign the highest implied probability (45.5%) to 25°C because it aligns with observed steering patterns and surface conditions expected to moderate peak temperatures, while the 30% chance for 26°C and 18.5% for 24°C reflect typical forecast uncertainty ranges of ±1–2°C common at this lead time. Stronger consensus or model shifts toward clearer skies or additional cloud cover could further concentrate probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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警惕外部連結哦。
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