**Official forecasts from Environment Canada point to a sunny day on August 25 with a high of 25°C following showers and cloudier conditions on the 24th.** Northwesterly winds and clearing skies under building high pressure should allow daytime heating after overnight lows near 14–16°C. Multiple model outputs and private forecasts cluster the daily maximum between 23–25°C (roughly 73–77°F), aligning with the historical average high of ~25.4°C for the date. Trader consensus reflected in the market—led by 24°C (48.5%) then 25°C (30%)—captures the narrow range of expected outcomes given minor uncertainties in exact cloud timing, wind speeds, and localized heating. Stronger or more persistent northwesterlies could cap readings closer to 23°C, while fuller sun and lighter winds support the upper end near 25–26°C. Probabilities drop sharply above 26°C or below 23°C because current guidance shows no anomalous heat advection or persistent cloud cover that would push extremes. New model runs and the final official forecast update before the day begins remain the key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月25日多倫多氣溫最高？
8月25日多倫多氣溫最高？
24°C 49%
25°C 30%
23°C 11%
26°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
11%
24°C
49%
25°C
30%
26°C
6%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 49%
25°C 30%
23°C 11%
26°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
19°C or below
$141 交易量
<1%
20°C
$141 交易量
1%
21°C
$61 交易量
1%
22°C
$94 交易量
4%
23°C
$370 交易量
11%
24°C
$724 交易量
49%
25°C
$152 交易量
30%
26°C
$109 交易量
6%
27°C
$81 交易量
1%
28°C
$124 交易量
<1%
29°C or higher
$180 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from Environment Canada point to a sunny day on August 25 with a high of 25°C following showers and cloudier conditions on the 24th.** Northwesterly winds and clearing skies under building high pressure should allow daytime heating after overnight lows near 14–16°C. Multiple model outputs and private forecasts cluster the daily maximum between 23–25°C (roughly 73–77°F), aligning with the historical average high of ~25.4°C for the date.
Trader consensus reflected in the market—led by 24°C (48.5%) then 25°C (30%)—captures the narrow range of expected outcomes given minor uncertainties in exact cloud timing, wind speeds, and localized heating. Stronger or more persistent northwesterlies could cap readings closer to 23°C, while fuller sun and lighter winds support the upper end near 25–26°C. Probabilities drop sharply above 26°C or below 23°C because current guidance shows no anomalous heat advection or persistent cloud cover that would push extremes. New model runs and the final official forecast update before the day begins remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
交易量
$2,179結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from Environment Canada point to a sunny day on August 25 with a high of 25°C following showers and cloudier conditions on the 24th.** Northwesterly winds and clearing skies under building high pressure should allow daytime heating after overnight lows near 14–16°C. Multiple model outputs and private forecasts cluster the daily maximum between 23–25°C (roughly 73–77°F), aligning with the historical average high of ~25.4°C for the date.
Trader consensus reflected in the market—led by 24°C (48.5%) then 25°C (30%)—captures the narrow range of expected outcomes given minor uncertainties in exact cloud timing, wind speeds, and localized heating. Stronger or more persistent northwesterlies could cap readings closer to 23°C, while fuller sun and lighter winds support the upper end near 25–26°C. Probabilities drop sharply above 26°C or below 23°C because current guidance shows no anomalous heat advection or persistent cloud cover that would push extremes. New model runs and the final official forecast update before the day begins remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,179結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ET**Official forecasts from Environment Canada point to a sunny day on August 25 with a high of 25°C following showers and cloudier conditions on the 24th.** Northwesterly winds and clearing skies under building high pressure should allow daytime heating after overnight lows near 14–16°C. Multiple model outputs and private forecasts cluster the daily maximum between 23–25°C (roughly 73–77°F), aligning with the historical average high of ~25.4°C for the date. Trader consensus reflected in the market—led by 24°C (48.5%) then 25°C (30%)—captures the narrow range of expected outcomes given minor uncertainties in exact cloud timing, wind speeds, and localized heating. Stronger or more persistent northwesterlies could cap readings closer to 23°C, while fuller sun and lighter winds support the upper end near 25–26°C. Probabilities drop sharply above 26°C or below 23°C because current guidance shows no anomalous heat advection or persistent cloud cover that would push extremes. New model runs and the final official forecast update before the day begins remain the key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions