The 10-year Treasury yield stands near 4.79% as of September 2, 2026, after rising sharply on elevated inflation expectations tied to oil prices above $90 per barrel amid U.S.-Iran tensions. Persistent fiscal pressures from federal debt exceeding $40 trillion, heavy Treasury supply, and robust corporate bond issuance—particularly for AI infrastructure—have lifted term premiums and kept long-end yields elevated. Market-implied odds of a September FOMC hike have eased modestly following dovish comments from New York Fed President John Williams, though September CPI and labor data remain key swing factors. Traders are monitoring whether these forces sustain the recent backup or allow yields to test lower levels before month-end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
2026-09-30
低於4.76%
50%
低於4.73%
50%
低於4.70%
50%
低於4.67%
50%
低於4.64%
50%
低於4.61%
50%
低於4.56%
50%
低於4.51%
50%
低於4.45%
50%
$0.00 交易量
低於4.76%
$0 交易量
50%
低於4.73%
$0 交易量
50%
低於4.70%
$0 交易量
50%
低於4.67%
$0 交易量
50%
低於4.64%
$0 交易量
50%
低於4.61%
$0 交易量
50%
低於4.56%
$0 交易量
50%
低於4.51%
$0 交易量
50%
低於4.45%
$0 交易量
50%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).The 10-year Treasury yield stands near 4.79% as of September 2, 2026, after rising sharply on elevated inflation expectations tied to oil prices above $90 per barrel amid U.S.-Iran tensions. Persistent fiscal pressures from federal debt exceeding $40 trillion, heavy Treasury supply, and robust corporate bond issuance—particularly for AI infrastructure—have lifted term premiums and kept long-end yields elevated. Market-implied odds of a September FOMC hike have eased modestly following dovish comments from New York Fed President John Williams, though September CPI and labor data remain key swing factors. Traders are monitoring whether these forces sustain the recent backup or allow yields to test lower levels before month-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
市場開放時間： Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-30市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).The 10-year Treasury yield stands near 4.79% as of September 2, 2026, after rising sharply on elevated inflation expectations tied to oil prices above $90 per barrel amid U.S.-Iran tensions. Persistent fiscal pressures from federal debt exceeding $40 trillion, heavy Treasury supply, and robust corporate bond issuance—particularly for AI infrastructure—have lifted term premiums and kept long-end yields elevated. Market-implied odds of a September FOMC hike have eased modestly following dovish comments from New York Fed President John Williams, though September CPI and labor data remain key swing factors. Traders are monitoring whether these forces sustain the recent backup or allow yields to test lower levels before month-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-30市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETThe 10-year Treasury yield stands near 4.79% as of September 2, 2026, after rising sharply on elevated inflation expectations tied to oil prices above $90 per barrel amid U.S.-Iran tensions. Persistent fiscal pressures from federal debt exceeding $40 trillion, heavy Treasury supply, and robust corporate bond issuance—particularly for AI infrastructure—have lifted term premiums and kept long-end yields elevated. Market-implied odds of a September FOMC hike have eased modestly following dovish comments from New York Fed President John Williams, though September CPI and labor data remain key swing factors. Traders are monitoring whether these forces sustain the recent backup or allow yields to test lower levels before month-end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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