**Trader consensus on the 74-75°F bin at 51.5% reflects climatological norms for Austin in late August combined with real-time forecast guidance.** The city's humid subtropical climate typically produces average overnight lows near 72°F on August 28, but elevated dew points, lingering moisture from scattered showers, and reduced radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies often push minimums into the mid-70s. Recent model runs from the National Weather Service and private ensembles showed limited nocturnal temperature drops, with surface observations confirming a minimum near 75°F amid moderate humidity and light southerly flow. This outcome aligns with historical analogs from similar warm, moist patterns rather than rarer clear-sky radiative cooling events that could reach the low 70s or below. Upcoming verification from official stations such as Austin-Bergstrom or Camp Mabry will finalize resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月28日是奧斯汀的最低溫度？
8月28日是奧斯汀的最低溫度？
74-75°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$1,324 交易量
$1,324 交易量
2026-08-28
69°F or below
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
Yes
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88°F or higher
No
74-75°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$1,324 交易量
$1,324 交易量
2026-08-28
69°F or below
$68 交易量
No
70-71°F
$56 交易量
No
72-73°F
$104 交易量
No
74-75°F
$36 交易量
Yes
76-77°F
$669 交易量
No
78-79°F
$94 交易量
No
80-81°F
$66 交易量
No
82-83°F
$63 交易量
No
84-85°F
$56 交易量
No
86-87°F
$55 交易量
No
88°F or higher
$55 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on the 74-75°F bin at 51.5% reflects climatological norms for Austin in late August combined with real-time forecast guidance.** The city's humid subtropical climate typically produces average overnight lows near 72°F on August 28, but elevated dew points, lingering moisture from scattered showers, and reduced radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies often push minimums into the mid-70s. Recent model runs from the National Weather Service and private ensembles showed limited nocturnal temperature drops, with surface observations confirming a minimum near 75°F amid moderate humidity and light southerly flow. This outcome aligns with historical analogs from similar warm, moist patterns rather than rarer clear-sky radiative cooling events that could reach the low 70s or below. Upcoming verification from official stations such as Austin-Bergstrom or Camp Mabry will finalize resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
交易量
$1,324結束日期
2026-08-28市場開放時間
Aug 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on the 74-75°F bin at 51.5% reflects climatological norms for Austin in late August combined with real-time forecast guidance.** The city's humid subtropical climate typically produces average overnight lows near 72°F on August 28, but elevated dew points, lingering moisture from scattered showers, and reduced radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies often push minimums into the mid-70s. Recent model runs from the National Weather Service and private ensembles showed limited nocturnal temperature drops, with surface observations confirming a minimum near 75°F amid moderate humidity and light southerly flow. This outcome aligns with historical analogs from similar warm, moist patterns rather than rarer clear-sky radiative cooling events that could reach the low 70s or below. Upcoming verification from official stations such as Austin-Bergstrom or Camp Mabry will finalize resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,324結束日期
2026-08-28市場開放時間
Aug 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
**Trader consensus on the 74-75°F bin at 51.5% reflects climatological norms for Austin in late August combined with real-time forecast guidance.** The city's humid subtropical climate typically produces average overnight lows near 72°F on August 28, but elevated dew points, lingering moisture from scattered showers, and reduced radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies often push minimums into the mid-70s. Recent model runs from the National Weather Service and private ensembles showed limited nocturnal temperature drops, with surface observations confirming a minimum near 75°F amid moderate humidity and light southerly flow. This outcome aligns with historical analogs from similar warm, moist patterns rather than rarer clear-sky radiative cooling events that could reach the low 70s or below. Upcoming verification from official stations such as Austin-Bergstrom or Camp Mabry will finalize resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions