**Traders have converged on 24°C as the lowest temperature in Chengdu on August 22, 2026, with 96.5% implied probability.** Multiple official forecasts and real-time observations consistently show overnight lows stabilizing near 23–24°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies, high humidity (often 80–100%), and light winds that limit radiative cooling. August climatology for the region supports typical nighttime minima in the mid-20s Celsius amid the subtropical monsoon pattern. Upcoming final observations from stations such as Chengdu Shuangliu will confirm resolution, but the current model consensus and lack of any strong cooling mechanism make a meaningful shift to 22°C or below improbable without an unexpected clear-sky surge or frontal passage.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月22日成都最低溫?
24°C 97%
22°C 2%
23°C 2%
20°C <1%
$3,390 交易量
$3,390 交易量
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
97%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 97%
22°C 2%
23°C 2%
20°C <1%
$3,390 交易量
$3,390 交易量
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
97%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Traders have converged on 24°C as the lowest temperature in Chengdu on August 22, 2026, with 96.5% implied probability.** Multiple official forecasts and real-time observations consistently show overnight lows stabilizing near 23–24°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies, high humidity (often 80–100%), and light winds that limit radiative cooling. August climatology for the region supports typical nighttime minima in the mid-20s Celsius amid the subtropical monsoon pattern. Upcoming final observations from stations such as Chengdu Shuangliu will confirm resolution, but the current model consensus and lack of any strong cooling mechanism make a meaningful shift to 22°C or below improbable without an unexpected clear-sky surge or frontal passage.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions