Forecast consensus from global models points to a minimum temperature near 30–32°C in Jeddah on August 31, shaped by persistent northwest winds, high Red Sea humidity that limits nocturnal cooling, and mostly clear skies permitting modest radiational heat loss. Recent August observations show nightly lows fluctuating between 28–33°C amid above-normal warmth, with small differences in cloud cover, wind speed, or boundary-layer mixing able to shift the exact minimum across the tightly bunched 32°C and 33°C outcomes. The elevated market weighting on 35°C or higher reflects uncertainty around whether stronger winds or residual daytime heat retention could suppress cooling further, while lower-probability bins capture the modest chance of enhanced radiational cooling under calmer conditions. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於吉達8月31日的最低溫度？
吉達8月31日的最低溫度？
35°C or higher 93%
28°C 49%
29°C 49%
32°C 36%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
25°C or below
4%
26°C
35%
27°C
20%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C
23%
31°C
24%
32°C
36%
33°C
28%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
93%
35°C or higher 93%
28°C 49%
29°C 49%
32°C 36%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
25°C or below
$0 交易量
4%
26°C
$0 交易量
35%
27°C
$0 交易量
20%
28°C
$0 交易量
49%
29°C
$0 交易量
49%
30°C
$0 交易量
23%
31°C
$0 交易量
24%
32°C
$0 交易量
36%
33°C
$0 交易量
28%
34°C
$0 交易量
2%
35°C or higher
$0 交易量
93%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from global models points to a minimum temperature near 30–32°C in Jeddah on August 31, shaped by persistent northwest winds, high Red Sea humidity that limits nocturnal cooling, and mostly clear skies permitting modest radiational heat loss. Recent August observations show nightly lows fluctuating between 28–33°C amid above-normal warmth, with small differences in cloud cover, wind speed, or boundary-layer mixing able to shift the exact minimum across the tightly bunched 32°C and 33°C outcomes. The elevated market weighting on 35°C or higher reflects uncertainty around whether stronger winds or residual daytime heat retention could suppress cooling further, while lower-probability bins capture the modest chance of enhanced radiational cooling under calmer conditions. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from global models points to a minimum temperature near 30–32°C in Jeddah on August 31, shaped by persistent northwest winds, high Red Sea humidity that limits nocturnal cooling, and mostly clear skies permitting modest radiational heat loss. Recent August observations show nightly lows fluctuating between 28–33°C amid above-normal warmth, with small differences in cloud cover, wind speed, or boundary-layer mixing able to shift the exact minimum across the tightly bunched 32°C and 33°C outcomes. The elevated market weighting on 35°C or higher reflects uncertainty around whether stronger winds or residual daytime heat retention could suppress cooling further, while lower-probability bins capture the modest chance of enhanced radiational cooling under calmer conditions. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ETForecast consensus from global models points to a minimum temperature near 30–32°C in Jeddah on August 31, shaped by persistent northwest winds, high Red Sea humidity that limits nocturnal cooling, and mostly clear skies permitting modest radiational heat loss. Recent August observations show nightly lows fluctuating between 28–33°C amid above-normal warmth, with small differences in cloud cover, wind speed, or boundary-layer mixing able to shift the exact minimum across the tightly bunched 32°C and 33°C outcomes. The elevated market weighting on 35°C or higher reflects uncertainty around whether stronger winds or residual daytime heat retention could suppress cooling further, while lower-probability bins capture the modest chance of enhanced radiational cooling under calmer conditions. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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