Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models show a strong consensus for an Austin high near 102–103°F on August 19 under persistent high pressure and southerly flow typical of late-summer Texas patterns, aligning with the market’s leading 54.5% implied probability for that bin. August climatology places average highs near 100°F, but recent weeks have featured repeated triple-digit readings amid above-normal warmth, supporting elevated odds for 100–101°F or 104–105°F outcomes. Limited model spread and no imminent frontal passage or tropical moisture reduce chances of significant deviation, though small forecast revisions could still shift probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月19日奥斯汀的最高温度？
8月19日奥斯汀的最高温度？
102-103°F 55%
100-101°F 24%
104-105°F 17%
98-99°F 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
93华氏度或以下
<1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
4%
100-101°F
24%
102-103°F
55%
104-105°F
17%
106-107°F
3%
108-109°F
1%
110-111°F
<1%
华氏112度或更高
<1%
102-103°F 55%
100-101°F 24%
104-105°F 17%
98-99°F 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
93华氏度或以下
$237 交易量
<1%
94-95°F
$141 交易量
1%
96-97°F
$179 交易量
1%
98-99°F
$123 交易量
4%
100-101°F
$227 交易量
24%
102-103°F
$391 交易量
55%
104-105°F
$108 交易量
17%
106-107°F
$122 交易量
3%
108-109°F
$92 交易量
1%
110-111°F
$150 交易量
<1%
华氏112度或更高
$290 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models show a strong consensus for an Austin high near 102–103°F on August 19 under persistent high pressure and southerly flow typical of late-summer Texas patterns, aligning with the market’s leading 54.5% implied probability for that bin. August climatology places average highs near 100°F, but recent weeks have featured repeated triple-digit readings amid above-normal warmth, supporting elevated odds for 100–101°F or 104–105°F outcomes. Limited model spread and no imminent frontal passage or tropical moisture reduce chances of significant deviation, though small forecast revisions could still shift probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
交易量
$2,060结束日期
2026-08-19市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models show a strong consensus for an Austin high near 102–103°F on August 19 under persistent high pressure and southerly flow typical of late-summer Texas patterns, aligning with the market’s leading 54.5% implied probability for that bin. August climatology places average highs near 100°F, but recent weeks have featured repeated triple-digit readings amid above-normal warmth, supporting elevated odds for 100–101°F or 104–105°F outcomes. Limited model spread and no imminent frontal passage or tropical moisture reduce chances of significant deviation, though small forecast revisions could still shift probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,060结束日期
2026-08-19市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ETCurrent forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models show a strong consensus for an Austin high near 102–103°F on August 19 under persistent high pressure and southerly flow typical of late-summer Texas patterns, aligning with the market’s leading 54.5% implied probability for that bin. August climatology places average highs near 100°F, but recent weeks have featured repeated triple-digit readings amid above-normal warmth, supporting elevated odds for 100–101°F or 104–105°F outcomes. Limited model spread and no imminent frontal passage or tropical moisture reduce chances of significant deviation, though small forecast revisions could still shift probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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