Official National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to mostly sunny skies and hot, humid conditions across the Houston area on August 19, supporting afternoon highs centered in the mid-to-upper 90s. Persistent high pressure and typical late-summer southerly flow are limiting cloud cover and moisture that could cap temperatures, while dew points near 80°F contribute to elevated heat indices without substantially altering maximum readings. These factors align with the market-implied odds favoring the 96-97°F and 98-99°F bins, reflecting trader assessment of forecast uncertainty ranges around 97°F under current steering patterns and absence of frontal passages. Minor model spread on exact peak values or isolated convection could still shift outcomes within the narrow 90s window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月19日休斯顿的最高温度？
8月19日休斯顿的最高温度？
96-97°F 56%
98-99°F 41%
100-101°F 4%
94-95°F 1.3%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
89°F或以下
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
56%
98-99°F
41%
100-101°F
4%
102-103°F
1%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F或更高
<1%
96-97°F 56%
98-99°F 41%
100-101°F 4%
94-95°F 1.3%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
89°F或以下
$50 交易量
<1%
90-91°F
$347 交易量
<1%
92-93°F
$283 交易量
1%
94-95°F
$635 交易量
1%
96-97°F
$2,922 交易量
56%
98-99°F
$744 交易量
41%
100-101°F
$828 交易量
4%
102-103°F
$346 交易量
1%
104-105°F
$40 交易量
<1%
106-107°F
$267 交易量
<1%
108°F或更高
$130 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to mostly sunny skies and hot, humid conditions across the Houston area on August 19, supporting afternoon highs centered in the mid-to-upper 90s. Persistent high pressure and typical late-summer southerly flow are limiting cloud cover and moisture that could cap temperatures, while dew points near 80°F contribute to elevated heat indices without substantially altering maximum readings. These factors align with the market-implied odds favoring the 96-97°F and 98-99°F bins, reflecting trader assessment of forecast uncertainty ranges around 97°F under current steering patterns and absence of frontal passages. Minor model spread on exact peak values or isolated convection could still shift outcomes within the narrow 90s window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
交易量
$6,593结束日期
2026-08-19市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to mostly sunny skies and hot, humid conditions across the Houston area on August 19, supporting afternoon highs centered in the mid-to-upper 90s. Persistent high pressure and typical late-summer southerly flow are limiting cloud cover and moisture that could cap temperatures, while dew points near 80°F contribute to elevated heat indices without substantially altering maximum readings. These factors align with the market-implied odds favoring the 96-97°F and 98-99°F bins, reflecting trader assessment of forecast uncertainty ranges around 97°F under current steering patterns and absence of frontal passages. Minor model spread on exact peak values or isolated convection could still shift outcomes within the narrow 90s window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,593结束日期
2026-08-19市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ETOfficial National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to mostly sunny skies and hot, humid conditions across the Houston area on August 19, supporting afternoon highs centered in the mid-to-upper 90s. Persistent high pressure and typical late-summer southerly flow are limiting cloud cover and moisture that could cap temperatures, while dew points near 80°F contribute to elevated heat indices without substantially altering maximum readings. These factors align with the market-implied odds favoring the 96-97°F and 98-99°F bins, reflecting trader assessment of forecast uncertainty ranges around 97°F under current steering patterns and absence of frontal passages. Minor model spread on exact peak values or isolated convection could still shift outcomes within the narrow 90s window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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