Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 16°C (35.5% implied probability) and 15°C (25%) as London's highest temperature on April 19, aligning closely with the latest Met Office and BBC Weather forecasts projecting daytime maxima of 15-16°C under sunny intervals and gentle northerly breezes. This positioning stems from a sharp cooldown after early April's record 26.6°C peak at Kew Gardens on April 8—the UK's hottest early April day in 80 years—driven by a transition to cooler polar air masses and reduced high-pressure influence, as seen in recent observations around 17-18°C on April 17-18. Northerly steering patterns limit intensification potential, with low precipitation risk (10%) but inherent short-range forecast uncertainty from evolving model ensembles; watch Met Office updates Saturday for refinements ahead of resolution based on official Heathrow measurements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4月19日伦敦气温最高？
4月19日伦敦气温最高？
16°C 37%
15°C 32%
17°C 18%
14°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-04-19
9°C或以下
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
14%
15°C
32%
16°C
37%
17°C
18%
18°C
3%
19°C或更高
1%
16°C 37%
15°C 32%
17°C 18%
14°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-04-19
9°C或以下
$1,482 交易量
<1%
10°C
$787 交易量
<1%
11°C
$791 交易量
<1%
12°C
$1,401 交易量
1%
13°C
$1,567 交易量
2%
14°C
$543 交易量
14%
15°C
$462 交易量
32%
16°C
$420 交易量
37%
17°C
$611 交易量
18%
18°C
$682 交易量
3%
19°C或更高
$845 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 16°C (35.5% implied probability) and 15°C (25%) as London's highest temperature on April 19, aligning closely with the latest Met Office and BBC Weather forecasts projecting daytime maxima of 15-16°C under sunny intervals and gentle northerly breezes. This positioning stems from a sharp cooldown after early April's record 26.6°C peak at Kew Gardens on April 8—the UK's hottest early April day in 80 years—driven by a transition to cooler polar air masses and reduced high-pressure influence, as seen in recent observations around 17-18°C on April 17-18. Northerly steering patterns limit intensification potential, with low precipitation risk (10%) but inherent short-range forecast uncertainty from evolving model ensembles; watch Met Office updates Saturday for refinements ahead of resolution based on official Heathrow measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$9,344结束日期
2026-04-19市场开放时间
Apr 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 16°C (35.5% implied probability) and 15°C (25%) as London's highest temperature on April 19, aligning closely with the latest Met Office and BBC Weather forecasts projecting daytime maxima of 15-16°C under sunny intervals and gentle northerly breezes. This positioning stems from a sharp cooldown after early April's record 26.6°C peak at Kew Gardens on April 8—the UK's hottest early April day in 80 years—driven by a transition to cooler polar air masses and reduced high-pressure influence, as seen in recent observations around 17-18°C on April 17-18. Northerly steering patterns limit intensification potential, with low precipitation risk (10%) but inherent short-range forecast uncertainty from evolving model ensembles; watch Met Office updates Saturday for refinements ahead of resolution based on official Heathrow measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$9,344结束日期
2026-04-19市场开放时间
Apr 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 16°C (35.5% implied probability) and 15°C (25%) as London's highest temperature on April 19, aligning closely with the latest Met Office and BBC Weather forecasts projecting daytime maxima of 15-16°C under sunny intervals and gentle northerly breezes. This positioning stems from a sharp cooldown after early April's record 26.6°C peak at Kew Gardens on April 8—the UK's hottest early April day in 80 years—driven by a transition to cooler polar air masses and reduced high-pressure influence, as seen in recent observations around 17-18°C on April 17-18. Northerly steering patterns limit intensification potential, with low precipitation risk (10%) but inherent short-range forecast uncertainty from evolving model ensembles; watch Met Office updates Saturday for refinements ahead of resolution based on official Heathrow measurements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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