Met Office observations from London City Airport and Heathrow Airport—the key stations for this market—confirm the highest temperature on April 19 reached exactly 15°C amid persistent low cloud cover and cool northerly winds that suppressed daytime heating. This aligns with trader consensus at nearly 100% implied probability, reflecting verified hourly data rather than forecasts, following a sharp cooldown from early April's record 26.6°C peak on the 9th under high pressure. Scenarios challenging this would require rare post hoc data revisions from official sources, such as equipment recalibrations, though such adjustments are exceedingly uncommon for settled daily maxima. No further updates expected as the market nears resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4月19日伦敦气温最高?
15°C 100.0%
9°C或以下 <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$260,699 交易量
$260,699 交易量
9°C或以下
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
是
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C或更高
否
15°C 100.0%
9°C或以下 <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$260,699 交易量
$260,699 交易量
9°C或以下
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
是
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Met Office observations from London City Airport and Heathrow Airport—the key stations for this market—confirm the highest temperature on April 19 reached exactly 15°C amid persistent low cloud cover and cool northerly winds that suppressed daytime heating. This aligns with trader consensus at nearly 100% implied probability, reflecting verified hourly data rather than forecasts, following a sharp cooldown from early April's record 26.6°C peak on the 9th under high pressure. Scenarios challenging this would require rare post hoc data revisions from official sources, such as equipment recalibrations, though such adjustments are exceedingly uncommon for settled daily maxima. No further updates expected as the market nears resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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