Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models point to a June 23 high near 76 °F in downtown Los Angeles under an Extreme Heat Watch, driven by weakening onshore flow and gradual warming from an emerging El Niño pattern. Marine-layer stratus and variable sea-breeze timing create the tight spread between the leading 70–71 °F and 72–73 °F outcomes, while historical June normals near 78 °F and recent 76 °F readings anchor expectations. Model divergence on boundary-layer mixing and exact wind shifts explains why lower bins retain meaningful probability ahead of tomorrow’s official observation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月23日洛杉矶气温最高?
70-71°F 100.0%
61°F or below <1%
62-63°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$66,172 交易量
$66,172 交易量
61°F or below
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
Yes
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80°F or higher
No
70-71°F 100.0%
61°F or below <1%
62-63°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$66,172 交易量
$66,172 交易量
61°F or below
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
Yes
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 21, 2026, 9:09 PM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models point to a June 23 high near 76 °F in downtown Los Angeles under an Extreme Heat Watch, driven by weakening onshore flow and gradual warming from an emerging El Niño pattern. Marine-layer stratus and variable sea-breeze timing create the tight spread between the leading 70–71 °F and 72–73 °F outcomes, while historical June normals near 78 °F and recent 76 °F readings anchor expectations. Model divergence on boundary-layer mixing and exact wind shifts explains why lower bins retain meaningful probability ahead of tomorrow’s official observation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题