Current forecasts from sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather point to clear, sunny conditions over São Paulo on August 19 amid the Southern Hemisphere winter dry season, supporting a maximum near 31°C and positioning that outcome as the market leader at 43.5%. Subtropical high-pressure systems typically suppress cloud cover and rainfall during August, allowing peak solar insolation to drive daytime temperatures several degrees above the long-term climatological average high of roughly 24–25°C. Model consensus favors 30–32°C, with limited upside potential from warmer advection or downside from any unexpected moisture. Recent observations from the prior day align with this range, reinforcing trader consensus on these thresholds while underscoring forecast uncertainty inherent to short-range numerical weather prediction.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月19日圣保罗的最高温度？
8月19日圣保罗的最高温度？
31°C 43%
32°C 32%
30°C 16%
33°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
16%
31°C
43%
32°C
32%
33°C
7%
34°C
5%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 43%
32°C 32%
30°C 16%
33°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
26°C or below
$18 交易量
<1%
27°C
$154 交易量
1%
28°C
$79 交易量
2%
29°C
$35 交易量
4%
30°C
$202 交易量
16%
31°C
$490 交易量
43%
32°C
$49 交易量
32%
33°C
$57 交易量
7%
34°C
$56 交易量
5%
35°C
$191 交易量
1%
36°C or higher
$120 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather point to clear, sunny conditions over São Paulo on August 19 amid the Southern Hemisphere winter dry season, supporting a maximum near 31°C and positioning that outcome as the market leader at 43.5%. Subtropical high-pressure systems typically suppress cloud cover and rainfall during August, allowing peak solar insolation to drive daytime temperatures several degrees above the long-term climatological average high of roughly 24–25°C. Model consensus favors 30–32°C, with limited upside potential from warmer advection or downside from any unexpected moisture. Recent observations from the prior day align with this range, reinforcing trader consensus on these thresholds while underscoring forecast uncertainty inherent to short-range numerical weather prediction.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 9:55 PM ET
交易量
$1,449结束日期
2026-08-19市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 9:55 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather point to clear, sunny conditions over São Paulo on August 19 amid the Southern Hemisphere winter dry season, supporting a maximum near 31°C and positioning that outcome as the market leader at 43.5%. Subtropical high-pressure systems typically suppress cloud cover and rainfall during August, allowing peak solar insolation to drive daytime temperatures several degrees above the long-term climatological average high of roughly 24–25°C. Model consensus favors 30–32°C, with limited upside potential from warmer advection or downside from any unexpected moisture. Recent observations from the prior day align with this range, reinforcing trader consensus on these thresholds while underscoring forecast uncertainty inherent to short-range numerical weather prediction.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,449结束日期
2026-08-19市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 9:55 PM ETCurrent forecasts from sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather point to clear, sunny conditions over São Paulo on August 19 amid the Southern Hemisphere winter dry season, supporting a maximum near 31°C and positioning that outcome as the market leader at 43.5%. Subtropical high-pressure systems typically suppress cloud cover and rainfall during August, allowing peak solar insolation to drive daytime temperatures several degrees above the long-term climatological average high of roughly 24–25°C. Model consensus favors 30–32°C, with limited upside potential from warmer advection or downside from any unexpected moisture. Recent observations from the prior day align with this range, reinforcing trader consensus on these thresholds while underscoring forecast uncertainty inherent to short-range numerical weather prediction.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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