Trader consensus on Polymarket has priced 30°C or higher at virtually 100% for Taipei's highest temperature today, driven by Central Weather Administration (CWA) observations and forecasts showing daytime highs of 30–32°C under partly clear skies with only 10% precipitation risk. Current readings near 26–28°C at Songshan Airport station, combined with warmer-than-average spring conditions (February–April averages 1.1°C above normal), support sustained heating into the afternoon peak. Model consensus from CWA guidance aligns on this trajectory, reflecting low cloud cover and light winds favoring temperatures well above 29°C. Realistic challenges would require sudden showers or thickening clouds to cap peaks below 30°C, though hourly updates indicate minimal such risk; final CWA Songshan max resolves the market by evening.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Taipei on April 29?
30°C or higher 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$36,252 交易量
$36,252 交易量
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
Yes
30°C or higher 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$36,252 交易量
$36,252 交易量
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 27, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has priced 30°C or higher at virtually 100% for Taipei's highest temperature today, driven by Central Weather Administration (CWA) observations and forecasts showing daytime highs of 30–32°C under partly clear skies with only 10% precipitation risk. Current readings near 26–28°C at Songshan Airport station, combined with warmer-than-average spring conditions (February–April averages 1.1°C above normal), support sustained heating into the afternoon peak. Model consensus from CWA guidance aligns on this trajectory, reflecting low cloud cover and light winds favoring temperatures well above 29°C. Realistic challenges would require sudden showers or thickening clouds to cap peaks below 30°C, though hourly updates indicate minimal such risk; final CWA Songshan max resolves the market by evening.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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