Official Central Weather Administration observations at Taipei Songshan Airport station—the market's resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on April 30 reached 21°C between 9:00 and 17:00 amid persistent cloud cover, occasional showers, and high relative humidity near 90%, suppressing solar heating despite typical April highs around 25°C. Numerical weather prediction models accurately forecasted this 20–21°C range, reflecting a cooler trough pattern over northern Taiwan that limited convective clearing. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability on 21°C aligns with this skin-in-the-game assessment of verified data, as evening cooling to 19°C eliminates upside risk. A late-day improbable sunbreak could theoretically spike to 22°C before midnight closeout, but current conditions preclude it. Final daily max posts tomorrow.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Taipei on April 30?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 30?
21°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$96,210 交易量
$96,210 交易量
2026-04-30
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$96,210 交易量
$96,210 交易量
2026-04-30
14°C or below
$2,167 交易量
No
15°C
$1,375 交易量
No
16°C
$1,256 交易量
No
17°C
$4,233 交易量
No
18°C
$4,200 交易量
No
19°C
$17,347 交易量
No
20°C
$19,906 交易量
No
21°C
$13,618 交易量
Yes
22°C
$10,845 交易量
No
23°C
$8,672 交易量
No
24°C or higher
$12,589 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Central Weather Administration observations at Taipei Songshan Airport station—the market's resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on April 30 reached 21°C between 9:00 and 17:00 amid persistent cloud cover, occasional showers, and high relative humidity near 90%, suppressing solar heating despite typical April highs around 25°C. Numerical weather prediction models accurately forecasted this 20–21°C range, reflecting a cooler trough pattern over northern Taiwan that limited convective clearing. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability on 21°C aligns with this skin-in-the-game assessment of verified data, as evening cooling to 19°C eliminates upside risk. A late-day improbable sunbreak could theoretically spike to 22°C before midnight closeout, but current conditions preclude it. Final daily max posts tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 28, 2026, 1:15 PM ET
交易量
$96,210结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Apr 28, 2026, 1:15 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Central Weather Administration observations at Taipei Songshan Airport station—the market's resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on April 30 reached 21°C between 9:00 and 17:00 amid persistent cloud cover, occasional showers, and high relative humidity near 90%, suppressing solar heating despite typical April highs around 25°C. Numerical weather prediction models accurately forecasted this 20–21°C range, reflecting a cooler trough pattern over northern Taiwan that limited convective clearing. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability on 21°C aligns with this skin-in-the-game assessment of verified data, as evening cooling to 19°C eliminates upside risk. A late-day improbable sunbreak could theoretically spike to 22°C before midnight closeout, but current conditions preclude it. Final daily max posts tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$96,210结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Apr 28, 2026, 1:15 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official Central Weather Administration observations at Taipei Songshan Airport station—the market's resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on April 30 reached 21°C between 9:00 and 17:00 amid persistent cloud cover, occasional showers, and high relative humidity near 90%, suppressing solar heating despite typical April highs around 25°C. Numerical weather prediction models accurately forecasted this 20–21°C range, reflecting a cooler trough pattern over northern Taiwan that limited convective clearing. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability on 21°C aligns with this skin-in-the-game assessment of verified data, as evening cooling to 19°C eliminates upside risk. A late-day improbable sunbreak could theoretically spike to 22°C before midnight closeout, but current conditions preclude it. Final daily max posts tomorrow.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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