Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and GFS runs point to a minimum temperature in Amsterdam on September 16 near 12–13°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light showers, and moderate westerly winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions contrast with clearer scenarios that could allow deeper drops toward 11°C or stabilization near 14°C if winds ease. Historical September averages place typical lows around 11–12°C, providing context for the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities between 11°C and 14°C. Ongoing surface observations and updated model guidance through the evening will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月16日阿姆斯特丹最低气温？
9月16日阿姆斯特丹最低气温？
11°C 95%
13°C 48%
14°C 48%
12°C 21%
$14,618 交易量
$14,618 交易量
2026-09-16
8°C或以下
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
13%
11°C
95%
12°C
21%
13°C
48%
14°C
48%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C或更高
<1%
11°C 95%
13°C 48%
14°C 48%
12°C 21%
$14,618 交易量
$14,618 交易量
2026-09-16
8°C或以下
$0 交易量
1%
9°C
$0 交易量
1%
10°C
$0 交易量
13%
11°C
$0 交易量
95%
12°C
$16 交易量
21%
13°C
$16 交易量
48%
14°C
$21 交易量
48%
15°C
$1,301 交易量
<1%
16°C
$13,176 交易量
<1%
17°C
$47 交易量
<1%
18°C或更高
$42 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and GFS runs point to a minimum temperature in Amsterdam on September 16 near 12–13°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light showers, and moderate westerly winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions contrast with clearer scenarios that could allow deeper drops toward 11°C or stabilization near 14°C if winds ease. Historical September averages place typical lows around 11–12°C, providing context for the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities between 11°C and 14°C. Ongoing surface observations and updated model guidance through the evening will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$14,618结束日期
2026-09-16市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and GFS runs point to a minimum temperature in Amsterdam on September 16 near 12–13°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light showers, and moderate westerly winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions contrast with clearer scenarios that could allow deeper drops toward 11°C or stabilization near 14°C if winds ease. Historical September averages place typical lows around 11–12°C, providing context for the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities between 11°C and 14°C. Ongoing surface observations and updated model guidance through the evening will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$14,618结束日期
2026-09-16市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETForecast models from sources including the Met Office and GFS runs point to a minimum temperature in Amsterdam on September 16 near 12–13°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light showers, and moderate westerly winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions contrast with clearer scenarios that could allow deeper drops toward 11°C or stabilization near 14°C if winds ease. Historical September averages place typical lows around 11–12°C, providing context for the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities between 11°C and 14°C. Ongoing surface observations and updated model guidance through the evening will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题