Recent forecasts from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration and models such as ECMWF and GFS point to a minimum temperature in Busan of 25–27°C on August 30, 2026, driven by a stationary front delivering persistent cloud cover, showers, and high humidity that limits radiational cooling overnight. Southwest winds and a warm, moist air mass—typical of late-summer patterns with tropical night conditions—further suppress the diurnal range, keeping lows several degrees above the 74°F (23.3°C) climatological average. Recent heavy rainfall episodes have reinforced this setup by increasing atmospheric moisture and reducing clear-sky cooling potential. Trader consensus clusters around 25–26°C as the most probable outcomes given current model agreement, though slight shifts in frontal timing or wind direction could allow a dip toward 24°C or hold the low nearer 27°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月30日釜山气温最低？
8月30日釜山气温最低？
32°C or higher 72%
29°C 49%
22°C or below 45%
26°C 36%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
22°C or below
45%
23°C
25%
24°C
25%
25°C
31%
26°C
36%
27°C
26%
28°C
25%
29°C
49%
30°C
8%
31°C
8%
32°C or higher
72%
32°C or higher 72%
29°C 49%
22°C or below 45%
26°C 36%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
22°C or below
$145 交易量
45%
23°C
$0 交易量
25%
24°C
$0 交易量
25%
25°C
$0 交易量
31%
26°C
$0 交易量
36%
27°C
$0 交易量
26%
28°C
$0 交易量
25%
29°C
$20 交易量
49%
30°C
$15 交易量
8%
31°C
$5 交易量
8%
32°C or higher
$5 交易量
72%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration and models such as ECMWF and GFS point to a minimum temperature in Busan of 25–27°C on August 30, 2026, driven by a stationary front delivering persistent cloud cover, showers, and high humidity that limits radiational cooling overnight. Southwest winds and a warm, moist air mass—typical of late-summer patterns with tropical night conditions—further suppress the diurnal range, keeping lows several degrees above the 74°F (23.3°C) climatological average. Recent heavy rainfall episodes have reinforced this setup by increasing atmospheric moisture and reducing clear-sky cooling potential. Trader consensus clusters around 25–26°C as the most probable outcomes given current model agreement, though slight shifts in frontal timing or wind direction could allow a dip toward 24°C or hold the low nearer 27°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$190结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration and models such as ECMWF and GFS point to a minimum temperature in Busan of 25–27°C on August 30, 2026, driven by a stationary front delivering persistent cloud cover, showers, and high humidity that limits radiational cooling overnight. Southwest winds and a warm, moist air mass—typical of late-summer patterns with tropical night conditions—further suppress the diurnal range, keeping lows several degrees above the 74°F (23.3°C) climatological average. Recent heavy rainfall episodes have reinforced this setup by increasing atmospheric moisture and reducing clear-sky cooling potential. Trader consensus clusters around 25–26°C as the most probable outcomes given current model agreement, though slight shifts in frontal timing or wind direction could allow a dip toward 24°C or hold the low nearer 27°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$190结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRecent forecasts from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration and models such as ECMWF and GFS point to a minimum temperature in Busan of 25–27°C on August 30, 2026, driven by a stationary front delivering persistent cloud cover, showers, and high humidity that limits radiational cooling overnight. Southwest winds and a warm, moist air mass—typical of late-summer patterns with tropical night conditions—further suppress the diurnal range, keeping lows several degrees above the 74°F (23.3°C) climatological average. Recent heavy rainfall episodes have reinforced this setup by increasing atmospheric moisture and reducing clear-sky cooling potential. Trader consensus clusters around 25–26°C as the most probable outcomes given current model agreement, though slight shifts in frontal timing or wind direction could allow a dip toward 24°C or hold the low nearer 27°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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