Recent forecast guidance from Russian meteorological centers and international models points to overnight lows of 9–13°C in central Moscow on August 29, with possible localized dips to 6°C in outlying areas under clear skies and light winds. This baseline supports the market’s emphasis on outcomes clustered between 5°C and 12°C, while the 43% implied probability on 3°C or below reflects trader caution around model spread for radiational cooling and the historical potential for sharper drops in late-August high-pressure regimes. Upcoming evening model runs from the Hydrometeorological Center and updated ensemble guidance will likely refine the overnight minimum ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月29日莫斯科最低气温？
8月29日莫斯科最低气温？
3°C or below 86%
5°C 45%
7°C 27%
8°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-08-29
3°C or below
86%
4°C
1%
5°C
45%
6°C
26%
7°C
27%
8°C
27%
9°C
27%
10°C
27%
11°C
26%
12°C
26%
13°C or higher
23%
3°C or below 86%
5°C 45%
7°C 27%
8°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-08-29
3°C or below
$5 交易量
86%
4°C
$35 交易量
1%
5°C
$65 交易量
45%
6°C
$59 交易量
26%
7°C
$0 交易量
27%
8°C
$0 交易量
27%
9°C
$0 交易量
27%
10°C
$0 交易量
27%
11°C
$0 交易量
26%
12°C
$0 交易量
26%
13°C or higher
$5 交易量
23%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from Russian meteorological centers and international models points to overnight lows of 9–13°C in central Moscow on August 29, with possible localized dips to 6°C in outlying areas under clear skies and light winds. This baseline supports the market’s emphasis on outcomes clustered between 5°C and 12°C, while the 43% implied probability on 3°C or below reflects trader caution around model spread for radiational cooling and the historical potential for sharper drops in late-August high-pressure regimes. Upcoming evening model runs from the Hydrometeorological Center and updated ensemble guidance will likely refine the overnight minimum ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$169结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from Russian meteorological centers and international models points to overnight lows of 9–13°C in central Moscow on August 29, with possible localized dips to 6°C in outlying areas under clear skies and light winds. This baseline supports the market’s emphasis on outcomes clustered between 5°C and 12°C, while the 43% implied probability on 3°C or below reflects trader caution around model spread for radiational cooling and the historical potential for sharper drops in late-August high-pressure regimes. Upcoming evening model runs from the Hydrometeorological Center and updated ensemble guidance will likely refine the overnight minimum ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$169结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from Russian meteorological centers and international models points to overnight lows of 9–13°C in central Moscow on August 29, with possible localized dips to 6°C in outlying areas under clear skies and light winds. This baseline supports the market’s emphasis on outcomes clustered between 5°C and 12°C, while the 43% implied probability on 3°C or below reflects trader caution around model spread for radiational cooling and the historical potential for sharper drops in late-August high-pressure regimes. Upcoming evening model runs from the Hydrometeorological Center and updated ensemble guidance will likely refine the overnight minimum ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题