**Forecast models indicate overnight lows in Shenzhen on August 29 will likely settle near 26–27°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers.** High humidity near 90% and light southwest winds are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, while recent heavy rainfall on August 28 has maintained elevated dew points around 25–26°C. Subtropical monsoon conditions and urban heat retention further support minimum temperatures in this narrow range rather than cooler or warmer extremes. Official guidance from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and global ensemble runs show modest spread due to uncertainty in shower timing and cloud persistence, which directly explains the closely matched market-implied probabilities around 25°C and 27°C. Updated model runs and local observations will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月29日深圳最低气温？
8月29日深圳最低气温？
31°C 86%
30°C 85%
25°C 45%
27°C 44%
最新
最新
2026-08-29
22°C or below
-
23°C
9%
24°C
10%
25°C
45%
26°C
37%
27°C
44%
28°C
41%
29°C
44%
30°C
85%
31°C
86%
32°C or higher
<1%
31°C 86%
30°C 85%
25°C 45%
27°C 44%
最新
最新
2026-08-29
22°C or below
$5,018 交易量
-
23°C
$56 交易量
9%
24°C
$66 交易量
10%
25°C
$0 交易量
45%
26°C
$0 交易量
37%
27°C
$0 交易量
44%
28°C
$0 交易量
41%
29°C
$0 交易量
44%
30°C
$5 交易量
85%
31°C
$5 交易量
86%
32°C or higher
$22 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate overnight lows in Shenzhen on August 29 will likely settle near 26–27°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers.** High humidity near 90% and light southwest winds are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, while recent heavy rainfall on August 28 has maintained elevated dew points around 25–26°C. Subtropical monsoon conditions and urban heat retention further support minimum temperatures in this narrow range rather than cooler or warmer extremes. Official guidance from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and global ensemble runs show modest spread due to uncertainty in shower timing and cloud persistence, which directly explains the closely matched market-implied probabilities around 25°C and 27°C. Updated model runs and local observations will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$5,171结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate overnight lows in Shenzhen on August 29 will likely settle near 26–27°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers.** High humidity near 90% and light southwest winds are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, while recent heavy rainfall on August 28 has maintained elevated dew points around 25–26°C. Subtropical monsoon conditions and urban heat retention further support minimum temperatures in this narrow range rather than cooler or warmer extremes. Official guidance from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and global ensemble runs show modest spread due to uncertainty in shower timing and cloud persistence, which directly explains the closely matched market-implied probabilities around 25°C and 27°C. Updated model runs and local observations will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,171结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET**Forecast models indicate overnight lows in Shenzhen on August 29 will likely settle near 26–27°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers.** High humidity near 90% and light southwest winds are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, while recent heavy rainfall on August 28 has maintained elevated dew points around 25–26°C. Subtropical monsoon conditions and urban heat retention further support minimum temperatures in this narrow range rather than cooler or warmer extremes. Official guidance from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and global ensemble runs show modest spread due to uncertainty in shower timing and cloud persistence, which directly explains the closely matched market-implied probabilities around 25°C and 27°C. Updated model runs and local observations will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题