National Weather Service forecasts for Los Angeles International Airport indicate a daytime high clustering around 64-65°F on April 12, shaped by persistent marine layer stratus clouds, moderate onshore winds of 5-10 mph, and advection of cool Pacific marine air amid an approaching upper-level trough. This positions the 41.5% market-implied probability for 64-65°F as trader consensus, reflecting convergence in recent GFS and ECMWF model runs that show limited afternoon clearing and temperatures capped below climatological April norms of 68°F— a shift from early-month highs exceeding 70°F. Adjacent bins at 62-63°F (26.5%) and 66-67°F (23.0%) capture uncertainty from variable stratus thickness and burn-off timing, with a 30% chance of light rain adding downward pressure; overnight NWS updates may refine guidance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Los Angeles on April 12?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 12?
64-65°F 42%
62-63°F 26%
66-67°F 19%
68-69°F 5.3%
$10,013 Vol.
$10,013 Vol.
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
5%
62-63°F
26%
64-65°F
42%
66-67°F
19%
68-69°F
5%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74°F or higher
<1%
64-65°F 42%
62-63°F 26%
66-67°F 19%
68-69°F 5.3%
$10,013 Vol.
$10,013 Vol.
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
5%
62-63°F
26%
64-65°F
42%
66-67°F
19%
68-69°F
5%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 8, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Los Angeles International Airport indicate a daytime high clustering around 64-65°F on April 12, shaped by persistent marine layer stratus clouds, moderate onshore winds of 5-10 mph, and advection of cool Pacific marine air amid an approaching upper-level trough. This positions the 41.5% market-implied probability for 64-65°F as trader consensus, reflecting convergence in recent GFS and ECMWF model runs that show limited afternoon clearing and temperatures capped below climatological April norms of 68°F— a shift from early-month highs exceeding 70°F. Adjacent bins at 62-63°F (26.5%) and 66-67°F (23.0%) capture uncertainty from variable stratus thickness and burn-off timing, with a 30% chance of light rain adding downward pressure; overnight NWS updates may refine guidance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen