Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 62-65°F highs at Los Angeles International Airport (LAX) on April 13, with 64-65°F (31.5%) edging 62-63°F (29.5%), reflecting National Weather Service ensemble guidance and GFS/ECMWF model consensus projecting low-to-mid 60s amid a sharp cooling trend. This follows above-normal temperatures earlier this week giving way to an upper-level trough ushering onshore flow, persistent marine layer stratus clouds, and light precipitation risks through the weekend, suppressing highs well below April's historical 68°F average. The narrow 2°F spread between leaders stems from model uncertainty in afternoon burn-off timing and trough depth, with 00Z/12Z runs today likely to sharpen odds ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Los Angeles on April 13?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 13?
64-65°F 33%
62-63°F 29%
66-67°F 20%
68-69°F 11.2%
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
5%
62-63°F
29%
64-65°F
33%
66-67°F
20%
68-69°F
11%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74°F or higher
1%
64-65°F 33%
62-63°F 29%
66-67°F 20%
68-69°F 11.2%
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
5%
62-63°F
29%
64-65°F
33%
66-67°F
20%
68-69°F
11%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 9, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 62-65°F highs at Los Angeles International Airport (LAX) on April 13, with 64-65°F (31.5%) edging 62-63°F (29.5%), reflecting National Weather Service ensemble guidance and GFS/ECMWF model consensus projecting low-to-mid 60s amid a sharp cooling trend. This follows above-normal temperatures earlier this week giving way to an upper-level trough ushering onshore flow, persistent marine layer stratus clouds, and light precipitation risks through the weekend, suppressing highs well below April's historical 68°F average. The narrow 2°F spread between leaders stems from model uncertainty in afternoon burn-off timing and trough depth, with 00Z/12Z runs today likely to sharpen odds ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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