Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models project Milan's highest temperature on March 29 at 17–19°C, driving trader consensus with 28.5% implied probability for 17°C, 25.5% for 18°C, and 20.5% for 19°C amid close competition. This reflects a mild high-pressure system over northern Italy, but recent 48-hour updates show slight cooling from prior 20°C projections due to northerly airflow introducing cooler continental air, per official Italian meteorological service data. Climatological March highs average 14–15°C, making these above-normal yet uncertain due to model spread and potential cloud cover variations. Traders await tomorrow's refined hourly forecasts from NOAA and regional agencies for potential shifts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Mailand am 29. März?
Höchste Temperatur in Mailand am 29. März?
17°C 29%
18°C 26%
19°C 20%
20°C 13%
12°C oder niedriger
2%
13°C
8%
14°C
7%
15°C
8%
16°C
12%
17°C
29%
18°C
26%
19°C
21%
20°C
11%
21°C
7%
22°C oder höher
5%
17°C 29%
18°C 26%
19°C 20%
20°C 13%
12°C oder niedriger
2%
13°C
8%
14°C
7%
15°C
8%
16°C
12%
17°C
29%
18°C
26%
19°C
21%
20°C
11%
21°C
7%
22°C oder höher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 25, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models project Milan's highest temperature on March 29 at 17–19°C, driving trader consensus with 28.5% implied probability for 17°C, 25.5% for 18°C, and 20.5% for 19°C amid close competition. This reflects a mild high-pressure system over northern Italy, but recent 48-hour updates show slight cooling from prior 20°C projections due to northerly airflow introducing cooler continental air, per official Italian meteorological service data. Climatological March highs average 14–15°C, making these above-normal yet uncertain due to model spread and potential cloud cover variations. Traders await tomorrow's refined hourly forecasts from NOAA and regional agencies for potential shifts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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