Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) observations confirm a minimum air temperature of 19°C on May 5, 2026, at key reference stations like King's Park, driving the market's unanimous trader consensus on this outcome amid typical May variability. Overnight cloud cover and lingering effects from a northeast monsoon suppressed temperatures below seasonal norms of 23–25°C, with regional readings showing grass minimums around 20°C and no lower verified air temperatures at official sites. This positioning reflects verified instrumental data from HKO's quality-controlled network, representing skin-in-the-game agreement on resolution criteria. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare post hoc data revision from sensor anomaly or clarification on station-specific minimums could shift it, though HKO finalizes dailies promptly.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 5. Mai?
19°C 100.0%
14°C oder darunter <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$37,921 Vol.
$37,921 Vol.
14°C oder darunter
Nein
15°C
Nein
16°C
Nein
17°C
Nein
18°C
Nein
19°C
Ja
20°C
Nein
21°C
Nein
22°C
Nein
23°C
Nein
24°C oder höher
Nein
19°C 100.0%
14°C oder darunter <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$37,921 Vol.
$37,921 Vol.
14°C oder darunter
Nein
15°C
Nein
16°C
Nein
17°C
Nein
18°C
Nein
19°C
Ja
20°C
Nein
21°C
Nein
22°C
Nein
23°C
Nein
24°C oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 3, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) observations confirm a minimum air temperature of 19°C on May 5, 2026, at key reference stations like King's Park, driving the market's unanimous trader consensus on this outcome amid typical May variability. Overnight cloud cover and lingering effects from a northeast monsoon suppressed temperatures below seasonal norms of 23–25°C, with regional readings showing grass minimums around 20°C and no lower verified air temperatures at official sites. This positioning reflects verified instrumental data from HKO's quality-controlled network, representing skin-in-the-game agreement on resolution criteria. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare post hoc data revision from sensor anomaly or clarification on station-specific minimums could shift it, though HKO finalizes dailies promptly.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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