Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 78-83°F for Chicago O'Hare's highest temperature on April 17, driven by National Weather Service guidance projecting highs near 70-78°F amid partial clearing after today's showers and thunderstorms, building on recent warm anomalies like 81°F on April 12 and 80°F on April 14—23°F above seasonal normals. Differentiating the closely matched leading outcomes (80-81°F at 29.5%, 78-79°F at 20.5%, 82-83°F at 19%), forecast model ensembles such as GFS and ECMWF diverge by 2-4°F on afternoon insolation from lingering cloud cover, southwesterly winds enhancing boundary layer mixing, and exact timing of high pressure ridging. New evening model runs and tomorrow's 12Z updates could refine probabilities as resolution nears.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Chicago el 17 de abril?
¿La temperatura más alta en Chicago el 17 de abril?
80-81°F 30%
78-79°F 21%
82-83°F 19%
76-77°F 13%
NUEVO
$21,127 Vol.
NUEVO
$21,127 Vol.
17 abr 2026
71°F o menos
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
13%
78-79°F
21%
80-81°F
30%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
13%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
1%
90°F o más
1%
80-81°F 30%
78-79°F 21%
82-83°F 19%
76-77°F 13%
NUEVO
$21,127 Vol.
NUEVO
$21,127 Vol.
17 abr 2026
71°F o menos
$7,267 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$1,881 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$1,064 Vol.
3%
76-77°F
$1,695 Vol.
13%
78-79°F
$1,312 Vol.
21%
80-81°F
$997 Vol.
30%
82-83°F
$1,798 Vol.
19%
84-85°F
$1,107 Vol.
13%
86-87°F
$1,637 Vol.
4%
88-89°F
$1,078 Vol.
1%
90°F o más
$1,311 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 78-83°F for Chicago O'Hare's highest temperature on April 17, driven by National Weather Service guidance projecting highs near 70-78°F amid partial clearing after today's showers and thunderstorms, building on recent warm anomalies like 81°F on April 12 and 80°F on April 14—23°F above seasonal normals. Differentiating the closely matched leading outcomes (80-81°F at 29.5%, 78-79°F at 20.5%, 82-83°F at 19%), forecast model ensembles such as GFS and ECMWF diverge by 2-4°F on afternoon insolation from lingering cloud cover, southwesterly winds enhancing boundary layer mixing, and exact timing of high pressure ridging. New evening model runs and tomorrow's 12Z updates could refine probabilities as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 15, 2026, 6:05 AM ET
Volumen
$21,127Fecha de finalización
17 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 15, 2026, 6:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 78-83°F for Chicago O'Hare's highest temperature on April 17, driven by National Weather Service guidance projecting highs near 70-78°F amid partial clearing after today's showers and thunderstorms, building on recent warm anomalies like 81°F on April 12 and 80°F on April 14—23°F above seasonal normals. Differentiating the closely matched leading outcomes (80-81°F at 29.5%, 78-79°F at 20.5%, 82-83°F at 19%), forecast model ensembles such as GFS and ECMWF diverge by 2-4°F on afternoon insolation from lingering cloud cover, southwesterly winds enhancing boundary layer mixing, and exact timing of high pressure ridging. New evening model runs and tomorrow's 12Z updates could refine probabilities as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$21,127Fecha de finalización
17 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 15, 2026, 6:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 78-83°F for Chicago O'Hare's highest temperature on April 17, driven by National Weather Service guidance projecting highs near 70-78°F amid partial clearing after today's showers and thunderstorms, building on recent warm anomalies like 81°F on April 12 and 80°F on April 14—23°F above seasonal normals. Differentiating the closely matched leading outcomes (80-81°F at 29.5%, 78-79°F at 20.5%, 82-83°F at 19%), forecast model ensembles such as GFS and ECMWF diverge by 2-4°F on afternoon insolation from lingering cloud cover, southwesterly winds enhancing boundary layer mixing, and exact timing of high pressure ridging. New evening model runs and tomorrow's 12Z updates could refine probabilities as resolution nears.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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