Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Guangzhou's highest temperature on April 16, with implied probabilities clustered around 30–37°C amid partly cloudy conditions and southerly winds at 15–25 km/h. Guangzhou Meteorological Observatory's latest guidance projects a conservative 23–29°C high, aligning with weather.com ensembles showing 29–31°C across districts like Yuexiu and Tianhe, while BBC forecasts 30°C under sunny intervals—driven by a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge fostering above-normal warmth (April anomaly +3.3°C versus 22.5°C baseline). Differentiating factors include potential thinning cloud cover boosting insolation for 32–35°C peaks, urban heat island effects in this humid megacity, and minor model spreads in GFS/ECMWF runs; low precipitation odds (<10%) favor the mid-30s cluster, with official hourly station data resolving outcomes by evening.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Guangzhou on April 16?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on April 16?
30°C 27%
31°C 27%
32°C 27%
34°C 26%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 abr 2026
29°C or below
17%
30°C
27%
31°C
27%
32°C
27%
33°C
17%
34°C
26%
35°C
25%
36°C
25%
37°C
25%
38°C
2%
39°C or higher
1%
30°C 27%
31°C 27%
32°C 27%
34°C 26%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 abr 2026
29°C or below
$0 Vol.
17%
30°C
$0 Vol.
27%
31°C
$0 Vol.
27%
32°C
$2 Vol.
27%
33°C
$0 Vol.
17%
34°C
$11 Vol.
26%
35°C
$16 Vol.
25%
36°C
$16 Vol.
25%
37°C
$16 Vol.
25%
38°C
$243 Vol.
2%
39°C or higher
$194 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Guangzhou's highest temperature on April 16, with implied probabilities clustered around 30–37°C amid partly cloudy conditions and southerly winds at 15–25 km/h. Guangzhou Meteorological Observatory's latest guidance projects a conservative 23–29°C high, aligning with weather.com ensembles showing 29–31°C across districts like Yuexiu and Tianhe, while BBC forecasts 30°C under sunny intervals—driven by a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge fostering above-normal warmth (April anomaly +3.3°C versus 22.5°C baseline). Differentiating factors include potential thinning cloud cover boosting insolation for 32–35°C peaks, urban heat island effects in this humid megacity, and minor model spreads in GFS/ECMWF runs; low precipitation odds (<10%) favor the mid-30s cluster, with official hourly station data resolving outcomes by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 14, 2026, 6:16 PM ET
Volumen
$404Fecha de finalización
16 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 14, 2026, 6:16 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Guangzhou's highest temperature on April 16, with implied probabilities clustered around 30–37°C amid partly cloudy conditions and southerly winds at 15–25 km/h. Guangzhou Meteorological Observatory's latest guidance projects a conservative 23–29°C high, aligning with weather.com ensembles showing 29–31°C across districts like Yuexiu and Tianhe, while BBC forecasts 30°C under sunny intervals—driven by a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge fostering above-normal warmth (April anomaly +3.3°C versus 22.5°C baseline). Differentiating factors include potential thinning cloud cover boosting insolation for 32–35°C peaks, urban heat island effects in this humid megacity, and minor model spreads in GFS/ECMWF runs; low precipitation odds (<10%) favor the mid-30s cluster, with official hourly station data resolving outcomes by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$404Fecha de finalización
16 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 14, 2026, 6:16 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Guangzhou's highest temperature on April 16, with implied probabilities clustered around 30–37°C amid partly cloudy conditions and southerly winds at 15–25 km/h. Guangzhou Meteorological Observatory's latest guidance projects a conservative 23–29°C high, aligning with weather.com ensembles showing 29–31°C across districts like Yuexiu and Tianhe, while BBC forecasts 30°C under sunny intervals—driven by a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge fostering above-normal warmth (April anomaly +3.3°C versus 22.5°C baseline). Differentiating factors include potential thinning cloud cover boosting insolation for 32–35°C peaks, urban heat island effects in this humid megacity, and minor model spreads in GFS/ECMWF runs; low precipitation odds (<10%) favor the mid-30s cluster, with official hourly station data resolving outcomes by evening.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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