Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Milan's highest temperature on March 29 at 17-19°C, aligning with trader sentiment where 17°C holds a 29% implied probability edge over 18°C (25.5%) and 19°C (20%), reflecting model consensus amid a mild high-pressure ridge over central Europe fostering southerly airflow and above-average daytime heating. Recent 48-hour updates show reduced cloud cover potential, boosting insolation and favoring mid-to-upper teens over cooler 16°C (11.5%) outcomes, though a 2°C spread persists due to uncertainties in afternoon convection and urban heat island effects at Milan's Linate station. Historical March highs average 14°C, but this week's +3°C anomaly underscores the pattern. New 12z model runs expected within hours could sharpen resolution as the date nears.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Milán el 29 de marzo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Milán el 29 de marzo?
17°C 29%
18°C 26%
19°C 19%
16°C 13%
12°C o menos
2%
13°C
8%
14°C
7%
15°C
8%
16°C
13%
17°C
29%
18°C
26%
19°C
19%
20°C
10%
21°C
8%
22°C o más
6%
17°C 29%
18°C 26%
19°C 19%
16°C 13%
12°C o menos
2%
13°C
8%
14°C
7%
15°C
8%
16°C
13%
17°C
29%
18°C
26%
19°C
19%
20°C
10%
21°C
8%
22°C o más
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 25, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Milan's highest temperature on March 29 at 17-19°C, aligning with trader sentiment where 17°C holds a 29% implied probability edge over 18°C (25.5%) and 19°C (20%), reflecting model consensus amid a mild high-pressure ridge over central Europe fostering southerly airflow and above-average daytime heating. Recent 48-hour updates show reduced cloud cover potential, boosting insolation and favoring mid-to-upper teens over cooler 16°C (11.5%) outcomes, though a 2°C spread persists due to uncertainties in afternoon convection and urban heat island effects at Milan's Linate station. Historical March highs average 14°C, but this week's +3°C anomaly underscores the pattern. New 12z model runs expected within hours could sharpen resolution as the date nears.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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