Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects closely matched forecasts from Brazil's National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and global models like ECMWF and GFS, projecting São Paulo's highest temperature on April 16 at 28–29°C amid a mild autumn warm spell. This positioning stems from recent model updates showing sustained highs above the April historical average of 25°C, driven by high pressure dominance, low precipitation odds (under 10%), and urban heat amplification in the city. Differentiation arises from afternoon uncertainties: greater sea breeze penetration or cloud buildup could limit peaks to 27°C, while clearer skies enable 29°C; lower outcomes fade due to absent cold fronts. Watch INMET's hourly advisories today for shifts ahead of official measurement at the Mirante de Santana station.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 16?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 16?
28°C 31%
27°C 28%
29°C 24%
26°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 abr 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
4%
26°C
12%
27°C
28%
28°C
31%
29°C
15%
30°C
8%
31°C
3%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
1%
28°C 31%
27°C 28%
29°C 24%
26°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 abr 2026
23°C or below
$96 Vol.
1%
24°C
$119 Vol.
2%
25°C
$110 Vol.
4%
26°C
$105 Vol.
12%
27°C
$228 Vol.
28%
28°C
$96 Vol.
31%
29°C
$476 Vol.
15%
30°C
$76 Vol.
8%
31°C
$52 Vol.
3%
32°C
$65 Vol.
2%
33°C or higher
$189 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects closely matched forecasts from Brazil's National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and global models like ECMWF and GFS, projecting São Paulo's highest temperature on April 16 at 28–29°C amid a mild autumn warm spell. This positioning stems from recent model updates showing sustained highs above the April historical average of 25°C, driven by high pressure dominance, low precipitation odds (under 10%), and urban heat amplification in the city. Differentiation arises from afternoon uncertainties: greater sea breeze penetration or cloud buildup could limit peaks to 27°C, while clearer skies enable 29°C; lower outcomes fade due to absent cold fronts. Watch INMET's hourly advisories today for shifts ahead of official measurement at the Mirante de Santana station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
Volumen
$1,478Fecha de finalización
16 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects closely matched forecasts from Brazil's National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and global models like ECMWF and GFS, projecting São Paulo's highest temperature on April 16 at 28–29°C amid a mild autumn warm spell. This positioning stems from recent model updates showing sustained highs above the April historical average of 25°C, driven by high pressure dominance, low precipitation odds (under 10%), and urban heat amplification in the city. Differentiation arises from afternoon uncertainties: greater sea breeze penetration or cloud buildup could limit peaks to 27°C, while clearer skies enable 29°C; lower outcomes fade due to absent cold fronts. Watch INMET's hourly advisories today for shifts ahead of official measurement at the Mirante de Santana station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$1,478Fecha de finalización
16 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects closely matched forecasts from Brazil's National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and global models like ECMWF and GFS, projecting São Paulo's highest temperature on April 16 at 28–29°C amid a mild autumn warm spell. This positioning stems from recent model updates showing sustained highs above the April historical average of 25°C, driven by high pressure dominance, low precipitation odds (under 10%), and urban heat amplification in the city. Differentiation arises from afternoon uncertainties: greater sea breeze penetration or cloud buildup could limit peaks to 27°C, while clearer skies enable 29°C; lower outcomes fade due to absent cold fronts. Watch INMET's hourly advisories today for shifts ahead of official measurement at the Mirante de Santana station.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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