Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 54-55°F (50%) for Seattle on April 16, closely tracking the latest National Weather Service guidance projecting a peak near 55°F under mostly sunny skies at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), the market's resolution site. This positioning stems from today's (April 15) cool, rainy conditions with highs in the upper 40s—driven by lingering low-pressure troughing—yielding to a high-pressure ridge that clears clouds and boosts insolation tomorrow. NOAA model ensembles, including GFS and ECMWF, converge on mid-50s peaks, tempered by marine layer persistence and sea breezes that historically cap April highs around the 57°F climatological average. Lower probabilities for extremes reflect minimal model spread and typical spring variability; watch evening forecast updates for potential tweaks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Seattle on April 16?
Highest temperature in Seattle on April 16?
54-55°F 44%
56-57°F 30%
52-53°F 16%
58-59°F 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 abr 2026
41°F or below
1%
42-43°F
1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
1%
48-49°F
2%
50-51°F
3%
52-53°F
16%
54-55°F
44%
56-57°F
30%
58-59°F
6%
60°F or higher
2%
54-55°F 44%
56-57°F 30%
52-53°F 16%
58-59°F 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 abr 2026
41°F or below
$335 Vol.
1%
42-43°F
$171 Vol.
1%
44-45°F
$174 Vol.
<1%
46-47°F
$167 Vol.
1%
48-49°F
$272 Vol.
2%
50-51°F
$229 Vol.
3%
52-53°F
$165 Vol.
16%
54-55°F
$282 Vol.
44%
56-57°F
$238 Vol.
30%
58-59°F
$321 Vol.
6%
60°F or higher
$113 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 54-55°F (50%) for Seattle on April 16, closely tracking the latest National Weather Service guidance projecting a peak near 55°F under mostly sunny skies at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), the market's resolution site. This positioning stems from today's (April 15) cool, rainy conditions with highs in the upper 40s—driven by lingering low-pressure troughing—yielding to a high-pressure ridge that clears clouds and boosts insolation tomorrow. NOAA model ensembles, including GFS and ECMWF, converge on mid-50s peaks, tempered by marine layer persistence and sea breezes that historically cap April highs around the 57°F climatological average. Lower probabilities for extremes reflect minimal model spread and typical spring variability; watch evening forecast updates for potential tweaks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
Volumen
$2,243Fecha de finalización
16 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 54-55°F (50%) for Seattle on April 16, closely tracking the latest National Weather Service guidance projecting a peak near 55°F under mostly sunny skies at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), the market's resolution site. This positioning stems from today's (April 15) cool, rainy conditions with highs in the upper 40s—driven by lingering low-pressure troughing—yielding to a high-pressure ridge that clears clouds and boosts insolation tomorrow. NOAA model ensembles, including GFS and ECMWF, converge on mid-50s peaks, tempered by marine layer persistence and sea breezes that historically cap April highs around the 57°F climatological average. Lower probabilities for extremes reflect minimal model spread and typical spring variability; watch evening forecast updates for potential tweaks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$2,243Fecha de finalización
16 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 54-55°F (50%) for Seattle on April 16, closely tracking the latest National Weather Service guidance projecting a peak near 55°F under mostly sunny skies at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), the market's resolution site. This positioning stems from today's (April 15) cool, rainy conditions with highs in the upper 40s—driven by lingering low-pressure troughing—yielding to a high-pressure ridge that clears clouds and boosts insolation tomorrow. NOAA model ensembles, including GFS and ECMWF, converge on mid-50s peaks, tempered by marine layer persistence and sea breezes that historically cap April highs around the 57°F climatological average. Lower probabilities for extremes reflect minimal model spread and typical spring variability; watch evening forecast updates for potential tweaks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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