Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 34-36°C for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 16, driven by Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) and global models like GFS and ECMWF forecasting unseasonably warm conditions under a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and strong daytime solar heating. Recent IMS observations show temperatures rising from 27°C on April 14 to projected 32-34°C today (April 15) via light southerly winds advecting desert air, with similar dynamics expected tomorrow before possible northerly sea breezes moderate peaks. Differentiating factors include model spread on cloud cover development and breeze strength—ECMWF leans slightly hotter (35-36°C) while GFS implies more moderation toward 34°C—amid April's climatological average of 23°C. IMS evening update may refine odds before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 16?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 16?
35°C 33%
34°C 22%
36°C 19%
37°C or higher 8.9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 abr 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
4%
33°C
6%
34°C
22%
35°C
33%
36°C
19%
37°C or higher
9%
35°C 33%
34°C 22%
36°C 19%
37°C or higher 8.9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 abr 2026
27°C or below
$476 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$347 Vol.
1%
29°C
$225 Vol.
1%
30°C
$178 Vol.
2%
31°C
$63 Vol.
2%
32°C
$287 Vol.
4%
33°C
$140 Vol.
6%
34°C
$83 Vol.
22%
35°C
$218 Vol.
33%
36°C
$86 Vol.
19%
37°C or higher
$196 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 34-36°C for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 16, driven by Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) and global models like GFS and ECMWF forecasting unseasonably warm conditions under a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and strong daytime solar heating. Recent IMS observations show temperatures rising from 27°C on April 14 to projected 32-34°C today (April 15) via light southerly winds advecting desert air, with similar dynamics expected tomorrow before possible northerly sea breezes moderate peaks. Differentiating factors include model spread on cloud cover development and breeze strength—ECMWF leans slightly hotter (35-36°C) while GFS implies more moderation toward 34°C—amid April's climatological average of 23°C. IMS evening update may refine odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 14, 2026, 6:06 PM ET
Volumen
$1,647Fecha de finalización
16 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 14, 2026, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 34-36°C for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 16, driven by Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) and global models like GFS and ECMWF forecasting unseasonably warm conditions under a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and strong daytime solar heating. Recent IMS observations show temperatures rising from 27°C on April 14 to projected 32-34°C today (April 15) via light southerly winds advecting desert air, with similar dynamics expected tomorrow before possible northerly sea breezes moderate peaks. Differentiating factors include model spread on cloud cover development and breeze strength—ECMWF leans slightly hotter (35-36°C) while GFS implies more moderation toward 34°C—amid April's climatological average of 23°C. IMS evening update may refine odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$1,647Fecha de finalización
16 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 14, 2026, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 34-36°C for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 16, driven by Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) and global models like GFS and ECMWF forecasting unseasonably warm conditions under a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and strong daytime solar heating. Recent IMS observations show temperatures rising from 27°C on April 14 to projected 32-34°C today (April 15) via light southerly winds advecting desert air, with similar dynamics expected tomorrow before possible northerly sea breezes moderate peaks. Differentiating factors include model spread on cloud cover development and breeze strength—ECMWF leans slightly hotter (35-36°C) while GFS implies more moderation toward 34°C—amid April's climatological average of 23°C. IMS evening update may refine odds before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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