Latest Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) updates and GFS/ECMWF ensemble forecasts project Tel Aviv's high temperature clustering around 34-35°C today, fueling trader sentiment with 38.5% implied probability for 35°C or higher and 36.5% for exactly 34°C, amid a high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies for maximum insolation. Easterly winds advecting hot Saharan air have driven a sharp warming trend—from 21°C on April 13 to 27°C yesterday—elevating unseasonal heat well above April's 23°C historical average. Differentiating factors include model spread on afternoon sea breeze strength, which could cap peaks below 35°C, and urban heat effects at Ben Gurion Airport, the resolution station per NOAA data. Hourly observations will refine trader positions as the day unfolds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 15?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 15?
34°C 41%
35°C or higher 38%
33°C 20%
32°C 6%
$55,410 Vol.
$55,410 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
6%
33°C
20%
34°C
41%
35°C or higher
38%
34°C 41%
35°C or higher 38%
33°C 20%
32°C 6%
$55,410 Vol.
$55,410 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
6%
33°C
20%
34°C
41%
35°C or higher
38%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 13, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) updates and GFS/ECMWF ensemble forecasts project Tel Aviv's high temperature clustering around 34-35°C today, fueling trader sentiment with 38.5% implied probability for 35°C or higher and 36.5% for exactly 34°C, amid a high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies for maximum insolation. Easterly winds advecting hot Saharan air have driven a sharp warming trend—from 21°C on April 13 to 27°C yesterday—elevating unseasonal heat well above April's 23°C historical average. Differentiating factors include model spread on afternoon sea breeze strength, which could cap peaks below 35°C, and urban heat effects at Ben Gurion Airport, the resolution station per NOAA data. Hourly observations will refine trader positions as the day unfolds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes