Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 56.5% implied probability for no change in Banco de México's (Banxico) June monetary policy decision, reflecting caution after the central bank's surprise 25 basis point cut to 6.75% on March 26 amid accelerating inflation. March 2026 CPI rose to 4.59% year-over-year—its highest since August 2024 and well above the 3% target—prompting a split 3-2 vote and Governor Rodríguez signaling the easing cycle may near its end. Weaker early-2026 economic activity, including contracting January output, supports a 40.5% chance of further cuts, while hikes at 32% appear unlikely absent renewed price pressures. Key catalysts include April and May CPI releases ahead of the June meeting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBank of Mexico Decision in June
Bank of Mexico Decision in June
No change 54%
Decrease 0
Increase 0
Decrease
41%
No change
54%
Increase
32%
No change 54%
Decrease 0
Increase 0
Decrease
41%
No change
54%
Increase
32%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Market Opened: Mar 27, 2026, 4:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 56.5% implied probability for no change in Banco de México's (Banxico) June monetary policy decision, reflecting caution after the central bank's surprise 25 basis point cut to 6.75% on March 26 amid accelerating inflation. March 2026 CPI rose to 4.59% year-over-year—its highest since August 2024 and well above the 3% target—prompting a split 3-2 vote and Governor Rodríguez signaling the easing cycle may near its end. Weaker early-2026 economic activity, including contracting January output, supports a 40.5% chance of further cuts, while hikes at 32% appear unlikely absent renewed price pressures. Key catalysts include April and May CPI releases ahead of the June meeting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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