Official observations from Beijing Capital International Airport, the market's resolution source via Wunderground daily records, confirm the highest temperature peaked at 19°C around 15:00 local time on April 2, 2026, under partly cloudy skies that capped solar heating. China Meteorological Administration data and timeanddate archives corroborate this measurement, with intraday surface reports showing no exceedance amid stable high-pressure conditions and moderate winds. Trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability for 19°C reflects this strong evidentiary alignment with short-range forecast models like GFS and ECMWF, which clustered highs near 19°C. Realistic challenges would require anomalous late-afternoon convective warming or measurement revisions, both improbable given the sun's low angle and observed plateau. Final daily summaries expected shortly.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Beijing on April 2?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 2?
19°C 100.0%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$116,236 Vol.
$116,236 Vol.
19°C
100%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
19°C 100.0%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$116,236 Vol.
$116,236 Vol.
19°C
100%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 29, 2026, 2:30 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
Dispute window
Final
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
Dispute window
Final
Official observations from Beijing Capital International Airport, the market's resolution source via Wunderground daily records, confirm the highest temperature peaked at 19°C around 15:00 local time on April 2, 2026, under partly cloudy skies that capped solar heating. China Meteorological Administration data and timeanddate archives corroborate this measurement, with intraday surface reports showing no exceedance amid stable high-pressure conditions and moderate winds. Trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability for 19°C reflects this strong evidentiary alignment with short-range forecast models like GFS and ECMWF, which clustered highs near 19°C. Realistic challenges would require anomalous late-afternoon convective warming or measurement revisions, both improbable given the sun's low angle and observed plateau. Final daily summaries expected shortly.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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