National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas-Fort Worth project a high temperature near 79-82°F on April 12, driving the market-implied 90% probability for 74°F or higher as traders align with this strong model consensus amid NOAA's spring outlook for above-normal temperatures. Recent observational data shows morning readings around 72°F under partly cloudy skies with light showers, building on upper-70s highs from April 9-10 and the region's record-warm March average of 67.6°F, which has entrenched warm climatological patterns. An active severe weather setup introduces minor uncertainty, with scattered thunderstorms potentially capping peaks and supporting slim odds for 72-73°F (5.5%), though steering currents favor sufficient daytime heating before evening activity peaks; official daily climate reports will confirm the outcome later today.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on April 12?
Highest temperature in Dallas on April 12?
74°F or higher 89%
72-73°F 5.8%
70-71°F 2.9%
55°F or below <1%
$56,497 Vol.
$56,497 Vol.
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
6%
74°F or higher
89%
74°F or higher 89%
72-73°F 5.8%
70-71°F 2.9%
55°F or below <1%
$56,497 Vol.
$56,497 Vol.
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
6%
74°F or higher
89%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
Dispute window
Final
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
Dispute window
Final
National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas-Fort Worth project a high temperature near 79-82°F on April 12, driving the market-implied 90% probability for 74°F or higher as traders align with this strong model consensus amid NOAA's spring outlook for above-normal temperatures. Recent observational data shows morning readings around 72°F under partly cloudy skies with light showers, building on upper-70s highs from April 9-10 and the region's record-warm March average of 67.6°F, which has entrenched warm climatological patterns. An active severe weather setup introduces minor uncertainty, with scattered thunderstorms potentially capping peaks and supporting slim odds for 72-73°F (5.5%), though steering currents favor sufficient daytime heating before evening activity peaks; official daily climate reports will confirm the outcome later today.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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