The National Weather Service forecast for Dallas on April 13 shows a high near 83°F under mostly cloudy skies with south winds at 10 to 15 mph gusting to 25 mph, driving trader consensus to an 84.5% implied probability for 82°F or higher as southerly flow advects warm, moist air from the Gulf amid a persistent upper-level pattern favoring above-normal temperatures. NOAA's spring outlook reinforces this with strong model agreement on elevated heights over the southern U.S., consistent with recent warm trends including March 2026 as the hottest on record in the DFW area. While a 20-40% chance of scattered showers or thunderstorms could suppress peaks to 80-81°F (7.7% odds), latest guidance from April 11 evening updates indicates minimal impact, with resolution hinging on official observations at DFW-area stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on April 13?
Highest temperature in Dallas on April 13?
82°F or higher 84%
78-79°F 6.1%
80-81°F 5.5%
76-77°F 2.0%
$28,026 Vol.
$28,026 Vol.
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
6%
82°F or higher
84%
82°F or higher 84%
78-79°F 6.1%
80-81°F 5.5%
76-77°F 2.0%
$28,026 Vol.
$28,026 Vol.
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
6%
82°F or higher
84%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...The National Weather Service forecast for Dallas on April 13 shows a high near 83°F under mostly cloudy skies with south winds at 10 to 15 mph gusting to 25 mph, driving trader consensus to an 84.5% implied probability for 82°F or higher as southerly flow advects warm, moist air from the Gulf amid a persistent upper-level pattern favoring above-normal temperatures. NOAA's spring outlook reinforces this with strong model agreement on elevated heights over the southern U.S., consistent with recent warm trends including March 2026 as the hottest on record in the DFW area. While a 20-40% chance of scattered showers or thunderstorms could suppress peaks to 80-81°F (7.7% odds), latest guidance from April 11 evening updates indicates minimal impact, with resolution hinging on official observations at DFW-area stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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